Per his Bracketology page on ESPN…

Last Four In

* Memphis
* Arizona State
* San Diego State
* Illinois

First Four Out

* Washington
* Seton Hall
* Rhode Island
* Ole Miss

Next Four Out

* Dayton
* UAB
* Mississippi State
* Minnesota

Presumably, Lunardi is factoring in Illinois’ loss to Wisconsin on Sunday. The two teams play again on Friday in the #4/#5 game of the Big Ten Tournament, so if the Illini lose again, it will be interesting to see if they still get a tourney nod. I think they’ll need a win against the Badgers to stay alive.