I just posted a DTBC article that named the Seahawks/Bills as my favorite DT combination for 2008. But what about those fantasy owners that utilize a week-to-week DTBC approach? (Each week, they pick up a mediocre defense that has a great matchup instead of carrying the same defense all year.) Back in January, just as the playoffs were in full swing, I explored the effect of home vs. away for mediocre fantasy defenses.
So what’s the bottom line? Well, if you’re going to pick up a new defense each week to take advantage of a great matchup, go for one that is playing at home. A defense playing at home is going to post, on average (at least for 2007), 54% more fantasy points against the worst 10 offenses than a similar defense playing on the road. Intuitively, this makes sense. Mediocre defenses are likely to play better in front of their home fans and bad offenses are likely to play worse on the road. And the numbers back it up.
