Month: January 2008 (Page 24 of 25)

High-powered O or stringy D?

There’s nothing like a gridiron battle between a top-flight offense and a stingy defense. Thursday nights Orange Bowl provides such a matchup when Kansas takes on Virginia Tech. The Jayhawks have the sixth best passing offense in the nation, while the Hokies offer the fifth best defense.

So which side of the ball do you side with?

In very general terms and not looking too deep into individual matchups, I’m usually partial to a good defense over a good offense. A good defensive coordinator will take away what an offense does best, instead of just lining up and going with the flow. Successful offenses usually require good rhythm and tempo, and I love seeing what happens when a good defense gets an offense out of its comfort zone.

It should be interesting to see how VA Tech defensive backs Macho Harris and Brandon Flowers stack up against KU receivers Marcus Henry and Dexton Fields tonight. Of course, after the Rose, Sugar and Fiesta Bowls, I’m just ready for a good BCS game at this point.

You play the game to win!

Alright, so West Virginia’s 48-28 dismantling of Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl provided a perfect example that most of the so-called “experts” don’t always know what they’re talking about. I’m certainly nowhere near expert-status, but I must admit that I thought Oklahoma would roll all over West Virginia Wednesday night, too. Unless you were a Mountaineer fan, why wouldn’t you think the Sooners would roll?

Let’s run over the check list:

1. Big 12 school playing a Big East school.

2. Some pundits believed that Oklahoma was the best team in the country, regardless of where they were ranked.

3. Some (or is it, most?) pundits believed that West Virginia was a fraud and should have never been ranked in the top 10.

4. West Virginia ran a gimmicky offense that certainly couldn’t move the ball against the big, fast, powerful Oklahoma defense.

5. West Virginia didn’t even have a coach.

Okay, so Oklahoma wins by 45 points, right? Wrong. Never underestimate a team with something to prove and that feels betrayed (not too mention, united) because their head coach left them high and dry after their biggest loss of the season. The supposed difference in conferences, speed and everything else flies out the window at kickoff. In the end, you still have to play the game.

By the way, if Oklahoma gets an invite to the Fiesta Bowl next year, they should just decline it and move on. Even if it means playing in the Tampax.com Bowl against Rice, it’s still better than being embarrassed on a national stage for a third year in a row.

SEC has more than just speed over Big Ten

Many SEC enthusiasts will claim that on a whole, their conference has faster players than the Big Ten. Apparently that’s not the only thing they have over Big Ten schools: SEC teams can sign more players at recruiting time, too.

When the Big Ten made the change in 2002, it instituted a policy where teams could oversign by no more than three players, and DiNardo said a detailed explanation behind the oversigning had to be submitted to the Big Ten. The SEC is among the conferences with no guidelines.

At the time, Michigan coach Lloyd Carr told reporters exactly why the Big Ten had to adjust, and a game like Monday’s national title game between Ohio State and LSU was part of his reasoning.

“When you look at our bowl hookup with the SEC . . . it’s an important rule,” Carr said then. “I can remember going to bowl games with 77, 76 guys on scholarship against a team with 85.

“In bowl games against conferences that have an advantage of doing that, Big Ten teams were at a severe disadvantage.”

For example, a school with 21 open scholarships could sign 26 players in February, with maybe 15 certainties and some group of six of the 11 other players expected to reach enrollment. Or perhaps three summer transfers would open opportunities if nine of the 11 were admitted to school.

If Team A and Team B are both allowed to recruit 85 players, but Team B can go over that amount and sign 10 more players than Team A, do they have a bigger advantage? I would say yes. Granted, Team B still has to recruit the right players and those players still have to perform on the field, but it’s still an advantage. If they get 10 more cracks at signing productive players than Team A does, isn’t that in their favor?

I never bought into the whole speed argument. Look at what Michigan did to Florida on New Year’s Day – both teams clearly had speed. Wisconsin hung with Tennessee just fine, too. However, this article brings up an interesting debate in terms of recruiting advantages and I think it’s worth noting at bowl time when we get to see the SEC take on the Big Ten in several instances.

Mid Major Surpises

Gonzaga continues to make their quest of obliterating the mid major moniker, but the biggest surprise comes from their same league. St. Mary’s, led by Aussie Pat Mills are off to a 12-1 start with impressive win over Oregon. Illinois State is 10-3 behind new head coach Tim Jankovich and has already knocked off Wichita State on the road.

With the Missouri Valley taking a step back, look for the Mid American Conference to fill the void. Akron and Kent State are both 10-2, while Ohio U is 8-4. Miami is once again the darkhorse.

Sam Houston State and Stephen F. Austin are both 11-1 and have beaten Big 12 opponents on the road. Steve Alford has New Mexico off to a 12-2 start, while Lon Kruger has UNLV rolling along at 11-3. New Orleans is 11-2 under a first year head coach.

Finally, in the Horizon League Butler and Valparaiso are out of the gate at 12-1 and 10-3 respectively.

Keed an eye on George Mason out of the Colonial. They have talent, experience and the generalship of Jim Larranaga that could having them making noise in March.

GREAT STARTS—CONFERNECE SEASON BEGINS

What does a great non-conference record mean? It used to be the formula to get to the NCAA tournament. As Jim Valvano used to say when he was at North Carolina State. Win your non conference games (it didn’t matter what cream puffs you played) and then go 7-7 in conference play and you would go to heavan (NCAA tourney). Things have changed, however, and with the expansion of the number of teams and sizes of the conferences teams have to do a little better than .500. Just ask Jim Boeheim at Syracuse…

I rundown each conference and let you know who loaded their pre-conference schedules with cupcakes and how they will do in league play. Also, there are a number of coaches who are on the hot seat and need to have a good run in their respective leagues.

ACC
North Carolina has gotten off to a great start and is one of only 5 undefeated teams left. Injuries could bring them back to earth, but it is safe to assume that Roy Williams has enough talent for a deep NCAA run.
Clemson, Miami and Duke are all out of the gates with only one loss. That’s good news for Frank Haith as he will have to have a good finish in conference play to keep his job. All three teams had will be early departures in the tourney. The big surprise is Boston College. After a number of departures Al Skinner has the Eagles playing well and looking to make some noise in the league.

On the second tier you have Virginia. They have a player in Sean Singletary who can carry them. Look for them to be the surprise of the league.

Atlantic 10

Rhode Island and Dayton are both sailing along with only one loss. Both teams have beaten their Big East opposition and are well placed to get at large bids. UMass and Xavier are right behind with wins over Big !2 and Big 10 opponents respectively. This could be the year that the conference gets 5 teams in the NCAA tourney. Don’t sleep on Duqeusne. Ron Everhart has taken a combination of junior college and transfers to mold the best team the school has had in 30 years.

Two coaches on the hot seat are John Gianni at LaSalle (only one winning season) and Fran Dunphy at Temple. It has been close to 30 years since Temple has missed the NCAA tourney two years in a row. Also, Bobby Lutz at Charlotte needs a good conference finish to make the administration forget about his interviewing at South Alabama last year.

Big 12

Kansas and Texas look like the teams to beat. The Jayhawks have talent and experience and could get the monkey of Bill Self’s back. This is a final four team if it stays healthy. Texas is young, but DJ Augustin has picked up where Kevin Durrant left off and is one of the best guards in the college basketball.

Do you think Mark Turgeon is happy? Not wanting to go into rebuilding situation anymore, he inherited a Texas A & M team that has the second most talent in the league (next to Kansas). The surpirse of the league is the Baylor Bears. Scott Drew has the Bears back from oblivion and challenging for a bid. The other surprise is Nebraska. Doc Sadler has loaded up on cupcakes, but then pulled off a win over Oregon to pad the resume. I think the Bears will stay hot while the Cornhuskers will fade in conference play.

Two coaches on the hot seat. Bob Knight is always on the hot seat and therefore must win at a higher rate than most coaches. Sean Sutton needs to make the NCAA tourney or the Sutton era will end in Stillwater.

PAC-10
Tony Bennet has the Cougars of Washington State rolling again. The competition has not been that great, but they did beat Gonzaga. No matter, they will still continue to win once they hit league play. UCLA has weathered more injuries than any other team and still Bew Howland’s squad continues to win. When they get healthy watch out.

On the second tier is Stanford and Arizona State. Herb Sendek continues to work his magic. Do you think Wolfpack fans wish they had him back in Raleigh?

Coaches on the hot seat are Ben Braun and Jay John at Cal and Oregon State. John lost two assistants in the off season and continues to struggle at the once legendary program.

SEC

Who would have believed that the only two undefeated teams in the league would be Ole Miss and Vanderbuilt. Andy Kennedy has the Tide rolling. He has brought that toughness that he learned at Cincinnati under Bob Huggins. I’ll bet they wish they had him back right now. What more can you say about the job that Kevin Stallings has done with the Commodores. He has meshed in foreign players with the right American players to build a team that could make a deep run this year.

Tenn, Florida Georgia, Auburn and Arkansas all have one to three losses. Look for Tenn to stick and win with the leadership provided by Chris Lofton. Florida is young, but talented. They know how to win and will only get better. Arkansas, Auburn and Georgia will fade as their non-conference schedule didn’t prove a thing. That is not good news for Jeff Lebo who is on the hot seat at Auburn.

Two other coaches on the hot seat are John Brady and Billy Gillespie. I don’t think either coach will lose his job, but I would start worrying about the fans.

Big 10

Michigan State and Indiana have risen to the top, but Wisconsin is right behind them. After losing an exhibition game to Grand Valley State, the Spartans are off to their best start in twenty years. Indiana has added depth in the backcourt with AJ Ratliff returning. This should enable Kelvin Sampson to pressure a little bit more. Bo Ryan has the Badgers poised for another run at the conference title after upseting Texas on the road.

Tubby Smith has Minnesota playing well against lesser competition. Once conference play starts I think they will start to fold. However, the league is not as good as it has been and they could end up with only four bids this year. The sleeper is Purdue. Matt Painter is playing with a lot of young guys and building for next year. Right now that may come sooner that you think.

Coaches on the hot seat are Ed Dechellis at Penn State. That is if they care enough about basketball to make a change.

Big East–

Coaches on the hot seat run the gambit. Norm Roberts at St. John’s inherited a mess from Mike Jarvis, but has failed to make any serious headway. Jim Calhoun at UConn and Rick Pitino at Louisville will struggle in the league due to a lack of talent. These are two hall of fame coaches who will have to pull out evry trick in the book to have a chance at finishing in the upper half. Their assistant’s are the ones on the hot seat if they don’t deliver better players.

The younger generation of Big East coaches have their teams ready for a title run. Jamie Dixon has Pitt playing with an ingrained toughness, as does Tom Crean at Marquette. John Thompson at Georgetown and Jay Wright have their squads wining in a finesse way. And Mike Brey has Notre Dame plodding away to a 10-2 record.

Look for the Hoyas and Panthers to battle it out to the end. Villanova, Marquette, UConn, West Virginia and Notre Dame should all end up in the NCAA’s.

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