Month: November 2005 (Page 10 of 11)

Week 9 Preview

Every week, I highlight a few marginal fantasy players, three to start and three to sit. Let’s see how I did last week:

START

Drew Brees, SD – 324 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT (HIT)
Brees was great against Kansas City, slicing and dicing his way to a big day – thanks to Antonio Gates.

Ronnie Brown, MIA – 118 total yards (HIT)
Brown shredded the Saints defense on his 23 carries but failed to score. Still, it was a good day for the rookie.

Jimmy Smith, JAX – 2 catches, 27 yards (MISS)
Smith continues his midseason lull. The Jaguars have a favorable schedule coming up, but if Smith can’t get more than two catches against the Rams, he may be in trouble.

BENCH

Eli Manning, NYG – 146 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT (HIT)
The Giants didn’t need Manning to beat the Redskins and it’s a good thing because he was inaccurate completing only 12 of his 31 pass attempts.

Steven Jackson, STL – 200 total yards, 1 TD (MISS)
Boy, I was wrong about this one. I overestimated Jacksonville’s defense, which looked awful letting Jackson go off on his career day.

Derrick Mason, BAL – 7 catches, 91 yards (MISS)
He didn’t score, but he did enough to be productive in a league that awards one point per receptions so I’ll give myself a miss on Mason.

On to this week’s picks:

START

QB – Eli Manning, NYG
The Giants play San Francisco. Start Manning.

RB – Fred Taylor, JAX
Assuming he doesn’t come down with a mysterious ailment, Taylor should have a nice game against a Houston defense that is allowing 165 yards and 1.4 TDs per game on the ground.

WR – Braylon Edwards, CLE
HC Romeo Crennel has said that he’s going to give Edwards more opportunities and he should be able to have some success against a Tennessee pass defense that yields an average of 203 yards and 2.1 TDs through the air. Don’t bench a stud for him, but he should make a good #3 WR this week.

BENCH

QB – Aaron Brooks, NO
Brooks faces a stingy Bears pass defense that has only allowed 178 yards and 0.9 TDs per game. He’s a decent start if you have no other options, but if you have another good QB, it would be wise to bench Brooks.

RB – Curtis Martin, NYJ
Martin has a tough assignment against the Chargers run defense, which is only allowing 78 rushing yards per game. Hopefully for him, the Jets can keep the game close so they don’t abandon the run altogether.

WR – Keenan McCardell, SD
The Jets are pretty tough against the pass, only allowing 163 yards and 0.7 TDs per game through the air. McCardell might catch a few balls, but I think the Jets will keep him out of the endzone.

KEY INJURIES:

Aaron Stecker – Q
Andre Johnson – Q
Anquan Boldin – O
Antwaan Randle El – P
Az-Zahir Hakim – Q
Bobby Engram – P
Brandon Jacobs – Q
Brandon Jones – Q
Bubba Franks – P
Chad Johnson – P
Charles Woodson – O
Chris Cooley – P
Chris Perry – P
Corey Dillon – Q
Curtis Martin – P
Darrell Jackson – O
David Givens – Q
Domanick Davis – Q
Donovan McNabb – Q
Dre Bly – O
Drew Bennett – O
Ed Reed – D
Eric Parker – Q
Ernie Conwell – Q
Hines Ward – P
Jerome Bettis – D
Jevon Kearse – Q
Josh McCown – P
Justin McCareins – P
Ken Dorsey – P
Marcus Robinson – Q
Mark Brunell – P
Michael Jenkins – Q
Michael Pittman – Q
Mike Williams – Q
Preist Holmes – Q
Randy Moss – Q
Ray Lewis – O
Reggie Williams – P
Robert Ferguson – D
Roy Williams – Q
Rudi Johnson – P
Santana Moss – P
Stephen Davis – P
T.J. Duckett – Q
Terrell Owens – Q
Tom Brady – P
Vinny Testaverde – P
Willie Parker – P

The Colts will cover

This week, the undefeated Indianapolis Colts visit Foxboro to face the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football. The Colts are favored by 3 points and I think the number is too low. Sure, the Pats won the Super Bowl last year and are playing at home, but their secondary is banged up, resulting in a defense that is 24th in the league in passing yards allowed. Oddly enough, they are 24th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, so the Colts should be able to move the ball with relative ease on the ground or through the air. In previous years, the Colts defense would keep the games close, but this season they are 4th in total defense and 1st in scoring defense.

A lot of people want to point to Bill Belichick and say that the Pats have a definite coaching advantage, but Tony Dungy is an underrated leader and I think he’ll have the Colts ready to play on Monday night. New England has struggled a bit with loss of former coordinators Romeo Crennel and Charlie Weis, and even if Belichick is the best preparation coach in the league, I don’t think preparation alone is going to get them a win against the Colts. The game could be close, but I think the Colts will cover the spread without too much of a problem.

Fantasy wise, look for big games from the Colts offensive players while the New England rushing game may struggle a bit. Since he’ll probably be playing catchup, Tom Brady should have a decent day through the air, but I don’t think it will be enough to keep the game within a touchdown.

got Smush?

Sure, Kobe Bryant hit the game winner, but check out Smush Parker’s line from the Lakers’ 99-97 victory over the Nuggets in Denver: 40 minutes, 20 points on 8-12 shooting (including 3-7 from three-point land), six assists and four rebounds. The key number is the minutes – the only two Lakers getting more time were Bryant and Lamar Odom. HC Phil Jackson likes this guy and he’s going to get a chance to play.

He went undrafted in most fantasy leagues.

Go get him.

Why not the Cavaliers?

I’m stumped.

For the past few weeks, I’ve been watching and listening to a bunch of NBA know-it-alls contend that the Cleveland Cavaliers would have a very good year but would still finish fourth in the East, behind Miami, Detroit and Indiana. In the weeks leading up to start of the season, I really started wondering if I was missing something. Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Eric Snow, Damon Jones, Drew Gooden, Donyell Marshall, Larry Hughes.

Alone, that starting five could contend for the final playoff spot in either league. But then you add a 20-year-old kid who looks a hell of a lot like the best all-round player on the planet? I’m sorry, but that team can play with anybody.

Admittedly, I’m a Cavs fan, but did you see them tonight? I won’t bother laying it all out here — check out the boxscore (Cavs won 109-87) — but the Cavaliers came out firing tonight, and I’m not sure when they’ll stop. They can score in the post, on the move, from mid-range and, this year, even from downtown, draining 12 threes tonight. On 21 attempts. That’s 62%.

And, of course, there’s #23.

So, someone please tell me why this team can’t at least be as good as Indiana. I’ve heard that it’ll take them a while to develop some team chemistry. I almost had some high school Bunsen Burner flashbacks watching these guys play together tonight. And name one player on the Pacers, or even the Pistons, that can take over a game the way LeBron can.

Ron Artest? He’s a beast, and a bit insane, but he can’t make as many things happen on the offensive side of the court to make him the dominant end-game player that LeBron can be. The reason: When James has the ball in his hands, he can beat you off the dribble, passing it, or shooting it. Artest usually needs someone to get him the ball to make something happen. That’s a big difference, I don’t care what kind of defensive freak you are.

Richard Hamilton? Not nearly physical enough and doesn’t do much else but score.

Chauncey Billups? He’s definitely the closest of this trio, with his ability to score, pass and shoot, but he doesn’t quite stack up to LBJ because he’s not a big rebounder.

The Heat, of course, have Shaq and Wade, and while I’d rather have LeBron than anyone else in the league right now (considering factors like age and health), Miami is deservedly the favorite in the East.

The Cavaliers, meanwhile, appear to have everything, including a deep roster. It may be too much to overcome the Pistons this year, but the Cavs will finish the season ahead of the Pacers . I know, it’s only one game. Trust me, I’m not calling for a Finals run just yet. But it could happen soon. Real soon. As for this year? I’m thinking 55-plus wins, a couple All Stars, miles of highlight-reel footage, and maybe even an MVP award.

Oh, and the #3 seed in the East.

Out of the box

Last week, I listed T.J. Ford as a fantasy sleeper and in his regular season debut, he put up 16 points, 14 assists and 9 rebounds in a 117-108 win over the Sixers. I hate to toot my own horn, but…TOOT!

Ford won’t play like this consistently, but if he can average 12-15 points and 6-8 assists, and Andrew Bogut comes along at a reasonable pace, the Bucks will be a dangerous team in the East.

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