In this week’s marquee matchup, the 9-0 Colts travel to Cincinnati to face the 7-2 Bengals. Neither team has faced a tough schedule – Colts’ opponents have a combined winning percentage of .321 which is a bit easier than the .407 winning percentage of the Bengals’ opponents. Cincinnati’s last test came in week 7 when they lost to the Steelers, 27-13. Cincinnati was not able to stop Pittsburgh’s running game, and they should have the same problem on Sunday. The Bengals are giving up 124 yards a game on the ground, while the Colts are 6th in the league with an average of 134 yards per contest.
I’m not as confident as my week 9 pick of the Colts to cover, but I believe that Indianapolis will win the game. They will need to play a very good game to win, but they are better than the Bengals in almost every facet of the game. The spread has Indianapolis favored by 5, which does seem a bit steep, but I think the favorite should cover. I’d rather take the money line though, as this game could come down to a last second field goal.
