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	<title>The Scores Report - The National Sports Blog &#187; Super Bowl XLIII odds</title>
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		<title>Official Super Bowl XLIII Prediction Thread</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/02/01/official-super-bowl-xliii-prediction-thread/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/02/01/official-super-bowl-xliii-prediction-thread/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2009 16:00:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Stalter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=12959</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The moment every TSR reader has been waiting for is finally here: It’s time for me to hand out my Super Bowl pick. I know, I know – you guys have been dying for this blog to come out since the Super Bowl XLIII matchup was set, but I wanted to take my time. I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007_images/nfl/FVI/heinz.roethlisberger.jpg" target="_blank"><img height="238" width="477" src="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007_images/nfl/FVI/heinz.roethlisberger.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>The moment every TSR reader has been waiting for is finally here: It’s time for me to hand out my Super Bowl pick. </p>
<p>I know, I know – you guys have been dying for this blog to come out since the Super Bowl XLIII matchup was set, but I wanted to take my time. I decided to go back and re-watch every single Arizona Cardinal and Pittsburgh Steeler game from this season in order to figure out each teams’ tendencies and therefore make the ultimate prediction.</p>
<p>But when I turned on my DVR to begin re-watching all the games I saw I had a couple of “Reno 911” episodes saved and I got lost in all the hilarity. (That Jim Dangle is one funny S.O.B.)</p>
<p>Needless to say, I didn’t re-watch one game, didn’t find one tendency and therefore my “ultimate prediction” is just going to be a flat out guess. Either way…</p>
<p>This is how I see Sunday’s big game playing out. The game will be tight for almost the entire first quarter, with both defenses playing well earlier on. The Steelers will strike first with a touchdown, then add a field goal to go up 10-0 midway through the second quarter. But thanks to the “don’t prevent the score” defense that every team seems to use right before halftime, Pittsburgh gives up a score right before Bruce Springsteen starts warming up, which in turn gives the Cardinals hope.</p>
<p>Your halftime score: an uneventful 10-7 Pittsburgh lead.</p>
<p>But the second half is where the action starts to heat up. All of a sudden the Steelers begin drumming up pressure and Kurt Warner has zero time to throw. Pittsburgh’s front seven starts suffocating Edgerrin James and Tim Hightower, all the while moving the pocket back so Warner can’t step up and deliver passes in a timely manner.</p>
<p>This leads to multiple sacks for the Steelers, which they turn into great field position. The Arizona defense, which in the first half had played damn near perfect football, starts to cave. Willie Parker starts finding open running lanes, which opens up the passing game for Ben Roethlisberger, who converts several third down conversions that essentially takes the life out of the Cards’ defense. Pittsburgh strikes twice for touchdowns in the third quarter, taking a 24-7 lead into the fourth.</p>
<p>Early in the fourth, Arizona offensive coordinator Todd Haley takes advantage of an overly aggressive Pittsburgh front seven and the Cardinals start attacking the edges and seams of the Steeler defense. All of a sudden, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Steve Breatson start to make plays in the open field and Warner gets into a rhythm. The Cards reach paydirt on a 1-yard James touchdown run and with still 11 minutes to play in the game, ‘Zona is still very much alive at 24-14.</p>
<p>Thanks to the offensive resurgence, the Cardinal defense forces a three and out and with the Pittsburgh defense still tired, Warner hits Fitzgerald on a reverse, pitch-back bomb to get the score within a field goal at 24-21 with seven minutes left to play.</p>
<p>But that’s as close as the Cards get to victory. Thanks to Parker, the Steelers drive into Arizona territory, eating up most of the clock. Big Ben then finds Heath Miller in the back of the end zone on a broken 3rd and 7 play to put Arizona away.</p>
<p><strong>Super Bowl XLIII Final:</strong> <em>Steelers 31, Cardinals 21</em>.</p>
<p>Not that it matters because everything I just wrote will happen exactly as I laid it out, but feel free to post your score prediction for the game. Remember, only the people who don’t post a prediction are wrong…and those who predict the losing team to win.</p>
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		<title>Greg Cossell uses immense film study to predict Super Bowl winner</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/30/greg-cosell-uses-immense-film-study-to-predict-super-bowl-winner/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/30/greg-cosell-uses-immense-film-study-to-predict-super-bowl-winner/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 19:15:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Stalter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=12938</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Greg Cosell of SportingNews.com made his Super Bowl XLIII prediction on Thursday and claimed victory for Pittsburgh because the, “one-dimensional Cardinals can’t beat Steelers D.” He even gave a predicted final score: After careful deliberation and hours and hours of film study the past 10 days, I have come to this conclusion about Super Bowl [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.sportingnews.com/yourturn/viewtopic.php?t=512103" target="_blank">Greg Cosell of SportingNews.com</a> made his Super Bowl XLIII prediction on Thursday and claimed victory for Pittsburgh because the, “one-dimensional Cardinals can’t beat Steelers D.”</p>
<p>He even gave a predicted final score:</p>
<blockquote><p><a href="http://i.a.cnn.net/si/2007/scorecard/02/08/truth.rumors.nfl/fitzgerald.jpg" target="_blank"><img class="photo_right" border="0" width="200" height="273" src="http://i.a.cnn.net/si/2007/scorecard/02/08/truth.rumors.nfl/fitzgerald.jpg" alt="Larry Fitzgerald" /></a>After careful deliberation and hours and hours of film study the past 10 days, I have come to this conclusion about Super Bowl 43: Steelers 27, Cardinals 20.</p></blockquote>
<p>After reading that, one could come to the conclusion that Cosell was being facetious. He didn’t really spend “hours and hours” of film study the past 10 days – he just said that as a light-hearted way to set up the rest of his column. </p>
<p>But then he wrote this halfway through his article:</p>
<blockquote><p>One of the continuing problems I see on film is that offenses get overly focused on locating and accounting for Harrison. LeBeau understands this and then burdens the offensive line with a lot of movement before the snap, particularly after the pass protection gets set. That creates confusion in many instances, particularly when Harrison and Woodley line up on the same side. Often, another rusher, such as linebacker James Farrior, is not accounted for and has a free path to the quarterback.</p></blockquote>
<p>Okay, maybe he was being serious about watching hours and hours of film to come to his prediction. That said, does anyone find his predicted score interesting? He spent hours and hours of film study to determine that the Steelers will win by seven and that the total combined score between the two teams will be 47? Wonder where we’ve seen those numbers before? Ah, yeah –those are the <em>exact</em> numbers that oddsmakers gave for the point spread and over/under total for the game.</p>
<p>Come on, Greg. It took you hours and hours of film preparation to come up with the exact same numbers oddsmakers set the lines at? You could do a little better than that.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Five Intriguing Super Bowl Storylines</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/19/five-intriguing-super-bowl-storylines/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/19/five-intriguing-super-bowl-storylines/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Jan 2009 02:00:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Stalter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=12366</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://static.nfl.com/static/content/catch_all/nfl_image/Kurt_Warner_WIDE827.jpg" target="_blank"><img height="251" width="477" src="http://static.nfl.com/static/content/catch_all/nfl_image/Kurt_Warner_WIDE827.jpg" alt="" /></a>

If anything, the 2008 NFL Season was far from dull. While the Cardinals and Steelers each won their respective divisions to secure playoff berths, neither team was a slum dunk to make it to Tampa at the start of the postseason.

Let’s recap, shall we?

The Steelers entered the playoffs with huge question marks to be answered, most surrounding their offense. In their last regular season game of the year, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was taken off the field strapped to a stretcher after the back of his helmet slammed against the turf following a hit between two defenders. Along with his health, Pittsburgh’s offensive line, although starting to gel in the final month of the season, seemed to be a weakness that defenses like the Titans and Ravens could exploit if they had the opportunity to face the Steelers in the postseason.

So while they ranked first in total defense entering the playoffs, the Steelers had major issues. Yet they steam rolled an overmatched Chargers team in the divisional round, then turned Joe Flacco’s inexperience against him in the AFC Championship Game and now they’re one win away from winning their second Super Bowl title in three years.

Conversely, the Cardinals had a little steeper hill to climb. Although their offense was explosive throughout the season, they played poorly down the stretch and many believed that if they had to go on the road in the playoffs, they would never survive. Not only that, but many pundits also didn’t believe ‘Zona would get past a good running team like the Falcons, who were sure to ride Michael Turner to victory in the opening round.

Thanks to three Atlanta turnovers and a soundly executed game plan to shut down Turner, the Cards beat the Falcons to set up a regular season rematch with the Panthers in the second round. Six Jake Delhomme turnovers later and Arizona was heading to the NFC Championship Game despite everyone and their mother suggesting that they would never be able to win on the road. Then despite the Eagles’ best efforts at a second half comeback, Arizona was able to hang on Sunday to secure a trip to the Super Bowl, which seemed like an improbable task at the start of the playoffs.

Now that the matchup has been set, what do we have to look forward to? Plenty, actually. Below are five storylines that should wet your appetite for the next two weeks before kickoff on February 1.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://static.nfl.com/static/content/catch_all/nfl_image/Kurt_Warner_WIDE827.jpg" target="_blank"><img height="251" width="477" src="http://static.nfl.com/static/content/catch_all/nfl_image/Kurt_Warner_WIDE827.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>If anything, the 2008 NFL Season was far from dull. While the Cardinals and Steelers each won their respective divisions to secure playoff berths, neither team was a slum dunk to make it to Tampa at the start of the postseason.</p>
<p>Let’s recap, shall we?</p>
<p>The Steelers entered the playoffs with huge question marks to be answered, most surrounding their offense. In their last regular season game of the year, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was taken off the field strapped to a stretcher after the back of his helmet slammed against the turf following a hit between two defenders. Along with his health, Pittsburgh’s offensive line, although starting to gel in the final month of the season, seemed to be a weakness that defenses like the Titans and Ravens could exploit if they had the opportunity to face the Steelers in the postseason.</p>
<p>So while they ranked first in total defense entering the playoffs, the Steelers had major issues. Yet they steam rolled an overmatched Chargers team in the divisional round, then turned Joe Flacco’s inexperience against him in the AFC Championship Game and now they’re one win away from winning their second Super Bowl title in three years.</p>
<p>Conversely, the Cardinals had a little steeper hill to climb. Although their offense was explosive throughout the season, they played poorly down the stretch and many believed that if they had to go on the road in the playoffs, they would never survive. Not only that, but many pundits also didn’t believe ‘Zona would get past a good running team like the Falcons, who were sure to ride Michael Turner to victory in the opening round.</p>
<p>Thanks to three Atlanta turnovers and a soundly executed game plan to shut down Turner, the Cards beat the Falcons to set up a regular season rematch with the Panthers in the second round. Six Jake Delhomme turnovers later and Arizona was heading to the NFC Championship Game despite everyone and their mother suggesting that they would never be able to win on the road. Then despite the Eagles’ best efforts at a second half comeback, Arizona was able to hang on Sunday to secure a trip to the Super Bowl, which seemed like an improbable task at the start of the playoffs.</p>
<p>Now that the matchup has been set, what do we have to look forward to? Plenty, actually. Below are five storylines that should wet your appetite for the next two weeks before kickoff on February 1.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/i_johnson/2758332525/" target="_blank"><img class="photo_right" border="0" width="200" height="298" src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3205/2758332525_56b774b14d.jpg?v=0" alt="Anquan Boldin" /></a><strong>1. Anquan Boldin vs. Todd Haley.</strong><br />
Perhaps the most intriguing storyline heading into Super Bowl XLIII is what the relationship will be like between Cards’ wideout Anquan Boldin and offensive coordinator Todd Haley. The two could be seen having a <a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/19/boldin-being-labeled-as-selfish-for-sideline-rant-with-haley/">heated discussion on Arizona’s sideline</a> during the NFC Championship Game Sunday and Haley mouthing, “Don’t call me that” several times during the exchange. According to several reports, Boldin was so upset after the game that he refused to talk to the media and left the locker room abruptly without celebrating with his teammates. Haley claims the receiver was upset with being replaced by Steve Breaston in one of the formations during Arizona’s pivotal game-winning scoring drive, but nothing has been confirmed. So what happens now? More than likely, the situation will get brushed under the rug because the last thing any team needs is to head into the Super Bowl with its star receiver and offensive coordinator at odds. But one has to wonder if Boldin (who publicly stated that he wanted the Cardinals to trade him in the offseason) will put aside his personal feelings in order to help his team win a Lombardi Trophy. He better, because if he thinks that Arizona (or any team for that matter) will spend millions of dollars on a player that put himself above his team’s push to win a Super Bowl, than he has another thing coming.</p>
<p><strong>2. Kurt Warner vs. the Steelers defense.</strong><br />
The Pittsburgh-Arizona matchup reminds me of the 2002 Super Bowl between the Buccaneers and Raiders. Like Pittsburgh this season, Tampa Bay led the league in total defense that year. Oakland had the best passing offense in the league and was led by long-time veteran quarterback Rich Gannon. Arizona doesn’t have the best passing offense in the league (they were second to New Orleans), but they are led by trusty 11-year vet Kurt Warner at quarterback. In Super Bowl XXXVII, Gannon threw a record five interceptions, three of which were returned for defensive touchdowns as the Bucs routed the Raiders 48-21. Granted, this isn’t Warner’s first Super Bowl (it will be his third), but his situation is eerily similar to Gannon’s. The Steelers’ defense excels at making quarterbacks (young and old) look silly when they drop back to pass. And while he hasn’t shown signs of it yet this postseason, Warner can get awfully turnover prone if he feels too much pressure. The Eagles were able to get to Warner in the third quarter of the NFC Championship Game and the Cardinals’ offense wilted. But they couldn’t do it on a consistent basis (neither could the Falcons or Panthers), and Warner picked them apart with the help of Larry Fitzgerald. Can the Arizona offensive line protect Warner long enough for him to find open receivers? Or will Warner suffer a similar demise as the one Gannon did?</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/16988923@N00/59798490/" target="_blank"><img class="photo_right" border="0" width="200" height="281" src="http://farm1.static.flickr.com/26/59798490_887b6957d4.jpg?v=0" alt="Ben Roethlisberger" /></a><strong>3. The injury status of Ben Roethlisberger and Hines Ward.</strong><br />
Unlike the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game, the Steelers don’t have to worry about injuries on the defensive side of the ball come February 1. But the same can’t be said for their offense, which will likely dress a less than 100% Ben Roethlisberger and Hines Ward. Big Ben is dealing with a multitude of nagging injuries ranging from bruised ribs to a spinal cord concussion he suffered in Week 17. Ward caught three passes for 55 yards before exciting the championship game with a right knee injury. The team is calling the injury a “slightly sprained MCL,” but he’s expected to play in the Super Bowl. Both of these players will embrace the two weeks off they have between now and kickoff, but one has to wonder whether or not the injuries will come up again any point during the game. Backup quarterback Byron Leftwich has looked good in spot duty this season, but he’s highly immobile and will turn the ball over from time to time. At receiver, the Steelers can get by with Santonio Holmes and Nate Washington, but Limas Sweed has dropped two potential touchdown catches the past two weeks and it isn’t easy replacing Ward’s instincts and leadership on the field. Pittsburgh needs both players to be healthy because while the Cardinals’ defense doesn’t look good on paper, they’re one of the most underrated units in the NFL and are playing extremely well right now.</p>
<p><strong>4. Does Ken Whisenhunt hold an inside edge?</strong><br />
Mike Tomlin and Ken Whisenhunt were hired eight days apart in 2007. Some believed that when Bill Cowher decided to retire, that Whisenhunt (the Steelers’ offensive coordinator at the time) would take over as head coach. But Whisenhunt eventually decided to head west and take over the seemingly impossible rebuilding plan in Arizona. Tomlin was then plucked from his defensive coordinator position in Minnesota to coach the Steelers, and now two years later the two will meet in the Super Bowl. The question becomes: Will Whisenhunt have inside knowledge of how the Steelers run their offense since he was their offensive line coach when they beat the Seahawks in the 2006 Super Bowl? Of course not, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t know ways to help Arizona defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast defend Ben Roethlisberger (who Whisenhunt coached for two seasons in Pittsburgh) or find ways to exploit the few weaknesses the Steelers have defensively. Remember, Jon Gruden helped Monte Kiffin scheme against Rich Gannon (his former quarterback in Oakland) in Super Bowl XXXVII and the Bucs wound up intercepting the Raider QB five times. It would be unwise to overlook Whisenhunt’s knowledge of the Steelers when breaking down this matchup.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/47028166@N00/1831094884/" target="_blank"><img class="photo_right" border="0" width="200" height="263" src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2151/1831094884_2e4b5aa134.jpg?v=0" alt="Mike Tomlin" /></a><strong>5. Steelers open as 7-point favorites.</strong><br />
This isn’t a huge storyline by any means, but the general media loves to shy away from the gambling aspects of the big game, so it’s fun to talk about. Don’t expect the <a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/19/super-bowl-xliii-odds-released-steelers-7-point-favorites/">Steelers to remain 7-point favorites</a> for very long. Pittsburgh fans will likely push the spread up to –8 or –9 by kickoff, making the Cardinals an intriguing pick in my opinion. Pittsburgh’s average margin of victory this year (including the postseason) was right around 10 points and that includes a 31-0 ass kicking of the Browns in Week 17. So as good as the Steeler defense is, they haven’t necessarily blown opponents out this season. Point is, if the spread jumps up closer to 10, there’s a good chance the Cards will keep the game close and produce a cover. If the line drops, then it’s hard not to love what the Pittsburgh defense could potential do to Kurt Warner and the Steelers might be an easy choice. So basically, let the public make your decision for you and if the line stays put, then maybe partaking in some Super Bowl squares or the total (which opened at 47) is the better way to go.</p>
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		<title>Super Bowl XLIII Odds released: Steelers 7-point favorites</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/19/super-bowl-xliii-odds-released-steelers-7-point-favorites/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/01/19/super-bowl-xliii-odds-released-steelers-7-point-favorites/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2009 18:57:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Anthony Stalter</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Odds are out and according to TheSpread.com, the Steelers are 7-point favorites over the Cards. The Steelers won the AFC North crown with a 12-4 record, and were 9-7 against the spread. They held opponents to 13.9 points a game this season – ranking them No. 1 in the NFL in total defense and points [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Odds are out and according to TheSpread.com, <a href="http://www.thespread.com/sports-betting-top-stories-900/super-bowl-xliii-odds-released-steelers-7-point-spread-favorite-over-card.html" target="_blank">the Steelers are 7-point favorites over the Cards</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/11785092@N00/1441560358/" target="_blank"><img class="photo_right" border="0" width="250" height="208" src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1237/1441560358_5084b62221.jpg?v=0" alt="Pittsburgh Steelers" /></a>The Steelers won the AFC North crown with a 12-4 record, and were 9-7 against the spread. They held opponents to 13.9 points a game this season – ranking them No. 1 in the NFL in total defense and points allowed.</p>
<p>Oddsmakers from online sports book Sports Interaction have made the Steelers a 7-point favorite over the Cardinals in Super Bowl XLIII, and have established the over/under total at 47.</p>
<p>The Cardinals were NFC West Champions this year despite finishing with an average 9-7 regular season record. They too were 9-7 against the number this season and won most of their games with their prolific offense, scoring 26.7 points per game and averaging 292.1 passing yards per game.</p></blockquote>
<p>Fellow TSR writer John Paulsen and I were talking about the game and we both came to a similar notion that Pittsburgh fans will likely push the spread up before kickoff. If the spread gets closer to 10, I would lean towards the dog and just hope that Kurt Warner doesn’t turn the ball over and give the Steelers easy scoring opportunities. If the spread drops, I would probably jump on the Steelers and assume their defense would put the clamps down on &#8216;Zona&#8217;s passing game.</p>
<p>The over/under total has been set at 47, which seems rather high to me. The Steelers don’t score a ton of points and one would figure that their defense would limit the Cards to 20 points or fewer. Regardless, both the line and total seem pegged right by odds makers.</p>
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