Official Super Bowl XLIII Prediction Thread
Posted by Anthony Stalter (02/01/2009 @ 11:00 am)

The moment every TSR reader has been waiting for is finally here: It’s time for me to hand out my Super Bowl pick.
I know, I know – you guys have been dying for this blog to come out since the Super Bowl XLIII matchup was set, but I wanted to take my time. I decided to go back and re-watch every single Arizona Cardinal and Pittsburgh Steeler game from this season in order to figure out each teams’ tendencies and therefore make the ultimate prediction.
But when I turned on my DVR to begin re-watching all the games I saw I had a couple of “Reno 911” episodes saved and I got lost in all the hilarity. (That Jim Dangle is one funny S.O.B.)
Needless to say, I didn’t re-watch one game, didn’t find one tendency and therefore my “ultimate prediction” is just going to be a flat out guess. Either way…
This is how I see Sunday’s big game playing out. The game will be tight for almost the entire first quarter, with both defenses playing well earlier on. The Steelers will strike first with a touchdown, then add a field goal to go up 10-0 midway through the second quarter. But thanks to the “don’t prevent the score” defense that every team seems to use right before halftime, Pittsburgh gives up a score right before Bruce Springsteen starts warming up, which in turn gives the Cardinals hope.
Your halftime score: an uneventful 10-7 Pittsburgh lead.
But the second half is where the action starts to heat up. All of a sudden the Steelers begin drumming up pressure and Kurt Warner has zero time to throw. Pittsburgh’s front seven starts suffocating Edgerrin James and Tim Hightower, all the while moving the pocket back so Warner can’t step up and deliver passes in a timely manner.
This leads to multiple sacks for the Steelers, which they turn into great field position. The Arizona defense, which in the first half had played damn near perfect football, starts to cave. Willie Parker starts finding open running lanes, which opens up the passing game for Ben Roethlisberger, who converts several third down conversions that essentially takes the life out of the Cards’ defense. Pittsburgh strikes twice for touchdowns in the third quarter, taking a 24-7 lead into the fourth.
Early in the fourth, Arizona offensive coordinator Todd Haley takes advantage of an overly aggressive Pittsburgh front seven and the Cardinals start attacking the edges and seams of the Steeler defense. All of a sudden, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Steve Breatson start to make plays in the open field and Warner gets into a rhythm. The Cards reach paydirt on a 1-yard James touchdown run and with still 11 minutes to play in the game, ‘Zona is still very much alive at 24-14.
Thanks to the offensive resurgence, the Cardinal defense forces a three and out and with the Pittsburgh defense still tired, Warner hits Fitzgerald on a reverse, pitch-back bomb to get the score within a field goal at 24-21 with seven minutes left to play.
But that’s as close as the Cards get to victory. Thanks to Parker, the Steelers drive into Arizona territory, eating up most of the clock. Big Ben then finds Heath Miller in the back of the end zone on a broken 3rd and 7 play to put Arizona away.
Super Bowl XLIII Final: Steelers 31, Cardinals 21.
Not that it matters because everything I just wrote will happen exactly as I laid it out, but feel free to post your score prediction for the game. Remember, only the people who don’t post a prediction are wrong…and those who predict the losing team to win.
Posted in: Free Picks, NFL, Super Bowl
Tags: Arizona Cardinals, Ben Roethlisberger, Bet on Super Bowl 43, Bet on Super Bowl XLIII, Edgerrin James, Hines Ward, Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald, Pittsburgh Steelers, Super Bowl, Super Bowl 43, Super Bowl Odds, Super Bowl XLIII, Super Bowl XLIII odds, Super Bowl XLIII Predictions, Willie Parker

Greg Cossell uses immense film study to predict Super Bowl winner
Posted by Anthony Stalter (01/30/2009 @ 2:15 pm)
Greg Cosell of SportingNews.com made his Super Bowl XLIII prediction on Thursday and claimed victory for Pittsburgh because the, “one-dimensional Cardinals can’t beat Steelers D.”
He even gave a predicted final score:
After careful deliberation and hours and hours of film study the past 10 days, I have come to this conclusion about Super Bowl 43: Steelers 27, Cardinals 20.
After reading that, one could come to the conclusion that Cosell was being facetious. He didn’t really spend “hours and hours” of film study the past 10 days – he just said that as a light-hearted way to set up the rest of his column.
But then he wrote this halfway through his article:
One of the continuing problems I see on film is that offenses get overly focused on locating and accounting for Harrison. LeBeau understands this and then burdens the offensive line with a lot of movement before the snap, particularly after the pass protection gets set. That creates confusion in many instances, particularly when Harrison and Woodley line up on the same side. Often, another rusher, such as linebacker James Farrior, is not accounted for and has a free path to the quarterback.
Okay, maybe he was being serious about watching hours and hours of film to come to his prediction. That said, does anyone find his predicted score interesting? He spent hours and hours of film study to determine that the Steelers will win by seven and that the total combined score between the two teams will be 47? Wonder where we’ve seen those numbers before? Ah, yeah –those are the exact numbers that oddsmakers gave for the point spread and over/under total for the game.
Come on, Greg. It took you hours and hours of film preparation to come up with the exact same numbers oddsmakers set the lines at? You could do a little better than that.
Posted in: NFL, Super Bowl
Tags: Arizona Cardinals, Bet on Super Bowl 43, Bet on Super Bowl XLIII, Kurt Warner, Pittsburgh Steelers, Super Bowl, Super Bowl 43, Super Bowl Odds, Super Bowl XLIII, Super Bowl XLIII odds, Super Bowl XLIII Predictions

Five Intriguing Super Bowl Storylines
Posted by Anthony Stalter (01/19/2009 @ 9:00 pm)

If anything, the 2008 NFL Season was far from dull. While the Cardinals and Steelers each won their respective divisions to secure playoff berths, neither team was a slum dunk to make it to Tampa at the start of the postseason.
Let’s recap, shall we?
The Steelers entered the playoffs with huge question marks to be answered, most surrounding their offense. In their last regular season game of the year, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was taken off the field strapped to a stretcher after the back of his helmet slammed against the turf following a hit between two defenders. Along with his health, Pittsburgh’s offensive line, although starting to gel in the final month of the season, seemed to be a weakness that defenses like the Titans and Ravens could exploit if they had the opportunity to face the Steelers in the postseason.
So while they ranked first in total defense entering the playoffs, the Steelers had major issues. Yet they steam rolled an overmatched Chargers team in the divisional round, then turned Joe Flacco’s inexperience against him in the AFC Championship Game and now they’re one win away from winning their second Super Bowl title in three years.
Conversely, the Cardinals had a little steeper hill to climb. Although their offense was explosive throughout the season, they played poorly down the stretch and many believed that if they had to go on the road in the playoffs, they would never survive. Not only that, but many pundits also didn’t believe ‘Zona would get past a good running team like the Falcons, who were sure to ride Michael Turner to victory in the opening round.
Thanks to three Atlanta turnovers and a soundly executed game plan to shut down Turner, the Cards beat the Falcons to set up a regular season rematch with the Panthers in the second round. Six Jake Delhomme turnovers later and Arizona was heading to the NFC Championship Game despite everyone and their mother suggesting that they would never be able to win on the road. Then despite the Eagles’ best efforts at a second half comeback, Arizona was able to hang on Sunday to secure a trip to the Super Bowl, which seemed like an improbable task at the start of the playoffs.
Now that the matchup has been set, what do we have to look forward to? Plenty, actually. Below are five storylines that should wet your appetite for the next two weeks before kickoff on February 1.
Read the rest after the jump...
Posted in: NFL, Super Bowl
Tags: AFC Championship Game, Anquan Boldin, Anquan Boldin doesn’t celebrate with teammates, Anquan Boldin fight, Anquan Boldin jackass article, Anquan Boldin selfish, Anquan Boldin Todd Haley argument, Anquan Boldin Todd Haley fight, Anquan Boldin vs. Todd Haley, Anthony Stalter, Arizona Cardinals, Arizona Cardinals going to Super Bowl, Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl, Arizona Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, Ben Roethlisberger, Cardinals Super Bowl, DeSean Jackson, Joe Flacco, Kurt Warner, Kurt Warner vs. Steelers, Larry Fitzgerald, Limas Sweed, Limas Sweed's drop vs. Ravens, NFC Championship Game, NFC Championship Game recap, NFL Championship Games, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh favored in Super Bowl, Pittsburgh Steelers, Steelers 7-point favorites over Cardinals, Steelers favored over Cardinals, Steelers Super Bowl favorites, Steve Breaston, Super Bowl XLIII Cardinals vs. Steelers, Super Bowl XLIII odds, Super Bowl XLIII over/under total, Super Bowl XLIII point spread, Todd Haley

Super Bowl XLIII Odds released: Steelers 7-point favorites
Posted by Anthony Stalter (01/19/2009 @ 1:57 pm)
Odds are out and according to TheSpread.com, the Steelers are 7-point favorites over the Cards.
The Steelers won the AFC North crown with a 12-4 record, and were 9-7 against the spread. They held opponents to 13.9 points a game this season – ranking them No. 1 in the NFL in total defense and points allowed.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sports Interaction have made the Steelers a 7-point favorite over the Cardinals in Super Bowl XLIII, and have established the over/under total at 47.
The Cardinals were NFC West Champions this year despite finishing with an average 9-7 regular season record. They too were 9-7 against the number this season and won most of their games with their prolific offense, scoring 26.7 points per game and averaging 292.1 passing yards per game.
Fellow TSR writer John Paulsen and I were talking about the game and we both came to a similar notion that Pittsburgh fans will likely push the spread up before kickoff. If the spread gets closer to 10, I would lean towards the dog and just hope that Kurt Warner doesn’t turn the ball over and give the Steelers easy scoring opportunities. If the spread drops, I would probably jump on the Steelers and assume their defense would put the clamps down on ‘Zona’s passing game.
The over/under total has been set at 47, which seems rather high to me. The Steelers don’t score a ton of points and one would figure that their defense would limit the Cards to 20 points or fewer. Regardless, both the line and total seem pegged right by odds makers.
Posted in: NFL, Super Bowl
Tags: Arizona Cardinals, Kurt Warner, Pittsburgh favored in Super Bowl, Pittsburgh Steelers, Steelers 7-point favorites over Cardinals, Steelers favored over Cardinals, Steelers Super Bowl favorites, Super Bowl XLIII odds, Super Bowl XLIII over/under total, Super Bowl XLIII point spread

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