College Football Week 3 Picks & Predictions
No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 6 Texas A&M, 3:30PM ET
The most anticipated matchup of Week 3 will take place at Kyle Field in College Station today. One thing that has made Nick Saban so successful is his ability to get his team focused on one game at a time. But you know he and the Crimson Tide have circled this date since Johnny Manziel and A&M rolled into Tuscaloosa and upset ‘Bama a year ago. The Aggies are just 1-4 all-time at home against top-ranked teams and since the start of the 2008 season, the Tide are 41-0 when it has fewer turnovers than its opponent. Look for ‘Bama to limit its mistakes, keep the ball on the ground (they’re 51-0 when rushing for at least 140 yards) and generate pressure on Manziel. If they can stay disciplined defensively and maintain good gap responsibility, they should get their revenge.
PREDICTION: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -9
Tennessee vs. No. 2 Oregon, 3:30PM ET
Butch Jones tried to ratchet up the tempo this week in practice in order to get his players ready for what they’ll see today in Eugene. But Oregon is too fast, too athletic and too skilled on the perimeter for an overmatched Tennessee squad. The Ducks are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. The Vols, meanwhile, are 0-4 against the number in their last four games versus the Pac-12 and 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. Look for Marcus Mariota and De’Anthony Thomas to run wild on a gassed Tennessee defense in the second half.
PREDICTION: OREGON DUCKS -28
No. 19 Washington vs. Illinois, 6:00PM ET
This game has become more interesting in the past two weeks. Washington turn heads by crushing Boise State in Week 1 and Illinois surprised the masses by routing a previously underrated Cincinnati team 45-17 last Saturday. While quarterbacks Keith Price and Nathan Scheelhaase will receive all of the attention tonight, keep an eye on Huskies junior middle linebacker and defensive leader John Timu (13 tackles vs. Boise), and the duo of Jonathan Brown and Mason Monheim for the Illini. The under is 5-1 in Illinois’ last six neutral-site games and 4-0 in the Huskies’ last four games in September. While defense won’t dominate this game, the combined score should fall under the total.
PREDICTION: UNDER 63
No. 21 Notre Dame vs. Purdue, 8:00PM ET
The Fighting Irish have won five straight games against the Boilermakers but two of those contests were decided on Notre Dame’s final drive. The Irish have new players on both sides of the ball that are growing on the job, which is part of the reason why their defense allowed 411 yards per game over their first two contests. Quarterback Tommy Rees is still trying to find his rhythm as a passer too, so look for this game to be somewhat tight. The underdog is 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these two teams and the Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
PREDICTION: PURDUE BOILERMAKERS +18.5
Posted in: College Football
Tags: Alabama Crimson Tide, Alabama vs Texas A&M, college football betting, college football free picksc, College football predictions, deanthony thomas, Illinois Fighting Illini, Johnny Manziel, Marcus Mariota, Nick Saban, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oregon Ducks, sports betting, Tennessee Volunteers, Texas A&M Aggies, Tommy Rees, Washington Huskies
Football casino games
The current close season period will be boring for most football fans, who will be anticipating the return of the NFL season in September, but for those who enjoy both football and sports betting, the close season is doubly dull. This is where the different NFL themed casino games which online casino sites offer can be such a welcome option, as they allow people who enjoy both of these activities to participate in them – and two of the best of these games are $5 Million Touchdown and Pigskin Payout.
The first of these is perhaps the single most popular football slots game – not least because the $5 million referred to in the name is actually the top jackpot available with it. This is an impressive sum, even by the standards of modern video slots, and the game itself is none to shabby either. Visually it’s very impressive with reels featuring players, footballs, cheerleaders and referees (also the wild symbol) plus a backdrop of an NFL pitch. The bonus game will also be a big selling point for those American football fans that would like to be able to play the game, but can’t, as it involves trying to score a touchdown in a video graphics NFL match.
As enjoyable as $5 Million Touchdown is though, it is not the only choice in this area you have, as sites like LuckyNuggetCasino.com have plenty of alternatives. One game which has a lot of potential appeal for fans of NFL betting is Pigskin Payout. The graphics used for the players, cheerleaders, mascots etc on the reels, plus the stadium background are really superb, while scoring a winning reel featuring the wild icon (the cheerleader) will lead to your payout being doubled. Also, like $5 Million Touchdown, Pigskin Payout is incredibly cheap to play – as you can bet with coins as small as $0.01 – which means you are almost certain to come out ahead by giving it a spin.
Know Your Limits: Managing Your Bankroll
In Hollywood, the most popular image of a gambler is of a desperate soul who bets everything on one event. The ensuing event —anything from a horse race or boxing match to a kids’ baseball game — is inevitably a nail-biter, with the outcome determined in the final few seconds. Depending on the script, the poor soul who wagered his entire fortune either comes out a winner with his problems solved or sinks even further into despair.
Needless to say, Hollywood is not real life. Most experienced gamblers will tell you wagering your entire bankroll (the money you have available for betting) is a bad idea. Instead, the most successful bettors develop a bankroll-management strategy that allows for consistent winnings that offset losses while maximizing sportsbook bonuses and other perks.
Slow and Steady Wins the Race
When you hear of sports bettors who lose everything or find trouble, it’s generally because they failed to use smart bankroll management. Instead of determining how much money they can afford to spend on sports betting sites and sticking with it, they start funneling money away from other things, like rent and bills, and toward the elusive “big payoff.” They bet on long-shot odds in hopes of a big payday or make huge wagers based on overconfidence in their knowledge of a team or league.
The result? A major financial mess.
Most experienced gamblers and experts recommend disciplined bankroll management. This starts with determining the maximum bankroll you can afford, anywhere from a few hundred dollars to tens of thousands. Most importantly, only bet as much as you can afford to lose without impacting your overall financial health. As you start to collect winnings, you can add to your bankroll, but start conservatively.
Use your bankroll to set a conservative unit size. A unit generally should be no more than one percent of your total bankroll. If your bankroll is $1,000, then an individual unit should be no more than $70. Go higher and you risk major losses.
Finally, develop a sports-betting plan. Aim to double your bankroll up to four times over the course of the entire season. To do that, you’ll need to increase the value of a unit as your bankroll grows, so determine at the season’s beginning the points when you’ll increase your bets. Having a solid plan and strategy is key to staying disciplined — and will keep you on track when you’re tempted to chase after a hot streak.
Go Big or Go Home? Not This Time
Another important part of managing your bankroll is managing your bet size. It’s easy to be tempted by the big paydays — who doesn’t want to collect several thousand dollars on a long-shot bet? However, you have a better chance of reaching your goals and increasing your bankroll through smaller bets.
Consider this scenario: You have $1,000 in bankroll going into the weekend. A novice bettor might risk $200 on five different games under the theory if he loses on two or three games, the winnings from other games will offset those loses. But what if he loses all five games? He’s lost his entire bankroll and must start over again.
Instead, avoid betting more than 10 percent of your total bankroll at any time and more than two percent of the bankroll on one event. It’s similar to diversifying investments in the stock market; if one investment (or wager) takes a hit, it doesn’t devastate the entire portfolio. If you win, you’ll gradually increase your bankroll until you meet your goals. If you feel especially confident about a particular game or match, increase your bet to three or four percent; if you aren’t as confident about the results, reduce the bet to one percent of the total bankroll.
The idea of taking a huge risk and betting everything on a single contest is a romantic one, but smart bettors know the path to huge gains is guided by discipline and moderation. Instead of worrying about paying your debts, you can focus on having fun and enjoy watching your winnings — and bankroll — gradually grow.
About the Author: Larry Lynch learned about bankroll management the hard way, when he lost several thousand dollars in the space of two hours one Sunday afternoon. Never one to make the same mistake twice, he decided to read more and learn about bankroll management.
Use Sports Books to Place Your Online Bets
If you enjoy online gambling, you are probably familiar with sports books. When you bet on different sporting events throughout the year, a sports book is used to keep track of your bets. Wages are usually paid after the event. There are various ways online sports books can give you the best wages possible.
Choose Your Bets
When you visit an online sports book, you’ll notice that the current season’s sport is featured. The sport is then broken down into the teams, players, and upcoming games. This helps you determine what wage to place in your sports book for the games. You can look at various sports being played from the site’s menu, and choose the sport you’re currently interested in placing a wager on. You can even look ahead to upcoming seasons of your favorite sports.
Check Out the Odds
Along with the individual sport’s information, you’ll also see a list of odds. This will help you decide who to place your wage on for each game. Odds are generally updated throughout the week, some even daily. You can keep track of the odds day-to-day until it’s time to place your bets.
A Day at the Races
Sporting events are not the only type of bets you can place in online sports books. If you enjoy racing, you can use them to look up the odds on upcoming horse races. You’ll be able to keep track of different horses, harnesses, see upcoming races, and check out featured races.
Play Casino Games
Some Sports Book websites also have online casinos, and feature craps, blackjack, and other casino games. There are various tournaments held throughout the year, and you can simply sign up for a tournament and place your wages on the website.
Online poker is also a popular feature of sports books. Check out upcoming games, place your wages, and earn bonuses along the way.
Collect Your Winnings
Once your game is over, you can easily collect your wages from online sports books. You’ll have to sign in to your account, and then you can check on your winnings and have them sent to you. If you’re new to online betting sites, you’ll have to create a user account first. Make sure you use a username and password you’ll remember, but be careful not to let it be something too common.
Online sports books are quick and simple to use. They’ll help take the guesswork out of placing your wages on your favorite games.
Tennis Betting Tips
One of the tips of the trade in betting offers industry is that some sports are simply easier to make a profit on than others. It’s generally thought that tennis is one of the sports that fall into this category as unlike many others, there are just two outcomes available to the punter. Of course, while there might be one less outcome than several other sports, caution still needs to be exercised whenever you contemplate a flutter. While there will never be a specific code to abide to, here is a list of tips that should help you improve your profits if you decide to bet on tennis matches.
Constantly analyze the weather conditions
As you may expect, this is only a variable that will alter in outdoor tennis tournaments but it can have huge significance on the end result. Generally, in windy conditions especially, one side of the court will be much easier to play on than the other. This means that players could have real difficulty in winning any games when they play on that side of the court – even if they are on serve.
This presents a fantastic tennis betting tips opportunity for the punter, if you can find a bookmaker that accepts in-play bets. On practically all occasions, bookies will label the server as the big favorite to win the match and the odds will be ridiculously favourable. In fact, when there is a big underdog, bookmakers will generally provide a massive price for them to break serve.
It’s at this point that you should spring into action. Most of the time, the bookies will not place too much emphasis on weather conditions for in-play specific game bets and this means there is fantastic value to be had. Admittedly, you may lose a few bets, but the odds are so favourable that this is something you can afford to do.
Research how competitors perform on the type of court that is being played on
When people talk about researching how players perform on a specific court type, they will generally look to their form on the various surfaces such as grass, clay and hard court. This is perhaps one of the most obvious tips in tennis betting research, as players are renowned for having a favoured surface and some simply won’t be able to cope on other types.
However, another tip along the same lines relates to the variables around the court. For example, some players will have absolutely no experience of playing in front of big crowds as in the US Open and this means that they could fare poorly if they are allocated one of the big courts in a tournament. Similarly, some players have their “bogey courts” and simple research can lead you to these courts to see where they have struggled in the past.
Keep a close eye on the warm up
The warm up can be a very telling point in the match as you will usually see if a player is carrying an injury. Whether they are acting laboured in their practice or if they are merely bandaged up in certain areas, you may be given a slight indication that they won’t be able to finish the match – or at least have their performance affected by their troubles. It’s at this point you should head straight to the bookmaker to back your suspicions with an investment.