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	<title>The Scores Report - The National Sports Blog &#187; DeJuan Blair</title>
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		<title>Where do the Spurs go from here?</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2010/05/10/where-do-the-spurs-go-from-here/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2010/05/10/where-do-the-spurs-go-from-here/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 May 2010 20:10:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[External NBA]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=39349</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[San Antonio played pretty well down the stretch this season, winning 17 of its last 25 games in March and April. (That&#8217;s a 56-win pace, by the way.) The Spurs looked sharp in their first round series against the Mavs, but looked old and slow as they were swept by the Suns. It&#8217;s going to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="float: center; margin:5px 5px 5px 5px;"><a target="_blank" href="http://www.fotoglif.com/f/w98j1q1xixq2/i3s34dw5akd5"><img id="fotoglif_i3s34dw5akd5" title="" alt="" style="width:468px" src="http://gallery.fotoglif.com/images/large/i3s34dw5akd5.jpg" border="0" /></a><script type="text/javascript" src="http://fotoglif.com/embed_login.js?hash=w98j1q1xixq2&#038;size=medium&#038;imageuid=5110888&#038;layout=&#038;jpgembed=yes&#038;pubid=d47k0gcic8w9"></script></div>
<p>San Antonio played pretty well down the stretch this season, winning 17 of its last 25 games in March and April. (That&#8217;s a 56-win pace, by the way.) The Spurs looked sharp in their first round series against the Mavs, but looked old and slow as they were swept by the Suns.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s going to be interesting to see how the Spurs approach this offseason. They just signed Manu Ginobili to an extension, and Tim Duncan is signed for two more seasons, so Tony Parker may be the player most likely to be moved. He has one more year on his contract at the tune of $13.7 million and at just 27, he&#8217;s in the prime of his career. George Hill could take over the full-time point guard duties, if necessary.</p>
<p>Trading Parker would be a big shift in direction from a personnel standpoint. San Antonio&#8217;s Big Three &#8212; Ginobili, Parker and Duncan &#8212; have been together for eight seasons and three titles, but they haven&#8217;t reached the Finals in the last three tries and haven&#8217;t made it out of the semis in the last two years. This begs the question &#8212; how big of a change are the Spurs willing to make?</p>
<p><span id="more-39349"></span></p>
<div><a target="_blank" href="http://www.fotoglif.com/f/y2y1gqubt3o7/bev1e86xzj4y"><img id="fotoglif_bev1e86xzj4y" title="" alt="" style="width:468px" src="http://gallery.fotoglif.com/images/large/bev1e86xzj4y.jpg" border="0" /></a><script type="text/javascript" src="http://fotoglif.com/embed_login.js?hash=y2y1gqubt3o7&#038;size=medium&#038;imageuid=5855502&#038;layout=&#038;jpgembed=yes&#038;pubid=d47k0gcic8w9"></script></div>
<p>Richard Jefferson didn&#8217;t exactly pan out, but he&#8217;s unlikely to opt out of the final year of his contract (worth a staggering $15.2 million) and no one is going to want to take on his contract unless they&#8217;re trying to unload a bad contract of their own. Jefferson was solid in the first round (9-4, 54% shooting), and while he posted decent numbers against the Suns (10-6), he shot just 42% from the field. I was surprised to see his FG% for the season (46.7%) which was a tad below his career clip, but the better shot selection on the half court didn&#8217;t offset the fact that he wasn&#8217;t getting the fast break opportunities that he did with Jason Kidd in New Jersey.</p>
<p>The good news is that the only players under contract for next season are the Big Three, Hill, Jefferson, DeJuan Blair and Antonio McDyess &#8212; all good players, one terrible contract (Jefferson&#8217;s) &#8212; so with some savvy moves this offseason, the franchise could keep this core intact with the possibility of adding a good player or two. The bad news is that the Spurs are well over the cap with a <a href="http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/jazz.jsp" target="_blank">payroll of $69 million for next season</a> so they&#8217;ll be limited to the mid-level exception and below.</p>
<p>Competition for mid-level players could be tough this summer as there are plenty of teams with cap space that could outspend the Spurs for a player they like. The other problem is that it&#8217;s not exactly clear what this team needs. They have good guards in Ginobili, Parker and Hill, good forwards in Jefferson, McDyess and Blair, and Duncan in the middle. One thing they do need is a sharpshooting forward (like Kyle Korver?) who could make teams pay for doubling Duncan or sagging on Ginobili&#8217;s drives. Jefferson shot just 32% from 3PT, and that&#8217;s not going to get it done.</p>
<p>The addition of a player like Korver would likely force more defensive responsibilities onto Ginobili; Jefferson did do a nice job defensively this season. He also played quite a few minutes at power forward this season, and that&#8217;s something that Korver wouldn&#8217;t be able to do. That means more McDyess and Blair, which wouldn&#8217;t necessarily be a bad thing.</p>
<p>If the Spurs do elect to trade Parker, they&#8217;ll need to find a third guard to play heavy minutes behind Hill and Ginobili. My guess is that they hold onto him and see how things go throughout the first half of the season. If whatever changes they make this summer aren&#8217;t panning out by then, they could move Parker before the trade deadline in order to get something for him before his contract expires next summer.</p>
<p>After watching that Suns series, it sure seems like whatever &#8220;it&#8221; factor the Spurs had (chemistry, execution, or some combination of the two) is fading, and the odds are very much against another title run in the near future. But Duncan is still playing at a pretty high level, Ginobili posted 20-4-8 despite playing with a broken nose, and the Spurs hit the jackpot in the last two drafts with Hill and Blair. With the right addition(s) this summer, they could be back in the thick of things this time next year.</p>
<p><em><br />Photo from <a target="_blank" href="http://www.fotoglif.com/f/w98j1q1xixq2/i3s34dw5akd5">fOTOGLIF</a><br /></em></p>
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		<title>Line of the Night (12/3): DeJuan Blair</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/12/04/line-of-the-night-123-dejuan-blair/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/12/04/line-of-the-night-123-dejuan-blair/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Dec 2009 12:00:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[External NBA]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[2009-10 NBA season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boston Celtics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DeJuan Blair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Line of the Night]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Antonio Spurs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=30398</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Spurs lost at home to the Celtics, 90-83, but it was a national television coming out party for rookie DeJuan Blair, who posted 18 points and 11 rebounds in one of his best games of the season. He hit 9 of 11 shots from the field, and scored eight straight points in the fourth [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="photo_right" border="0" src="http://a.espncdn.com/i/headshots/nba/players/65/3965.jpg" alt="" />The Spurs lost at home to the Celtics, 90-83, but it was a national television coming out party for rookie DeJuan Blair, who posted 18 points and 11 rebounds in one of his best games of the season. He hit 9 of 11 shots from the field, and scored eight straight points in the fourth quarter to keep the Spurs in the game. </p>
<p>Interestingly, Manu Ginobili only played 18 minutes and sat much of the final period even though the Spurs were trying to mount a comeback. With the loss the Spurs fall to 9-7 on the season, while the Celtics advance to 15-4.</p>
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		<title>Line of the Night (11/5): Carlos Boozer</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/11/06/line-of-the-night-115-carlos-boozer/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/11/06/line-of-the-night-115-carlos-boozer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 17:54:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[External NBA]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Boozer]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Deron Williams]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Utah Jazz]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=28399</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I thought about awarding this to Deron Williams for his 27-point, nine-assist, seven-rebound effort in Utah&#8217;s 113-99 win over the Spurs, but then I remembered that Tony Parker isn&#8217;t exactly known for his defensive prowess. Tim Duncan is. So that makes Carlos Boozer&#8217;s line &#8212; 27 points, 14 rebounds, three assists, two steals and two [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="photo_right" border="0" src="http://a.espncdn.com/i/headshots/nba/players/65/1703.jpg" alt="" />I thought about awarding this to Deron Williams for his 27-point, nine-assist, seven-rebound effort in Utah&#8217;s 113-99 win over the Spurs, but then I remembered that Tony Parker isn&#8217;t exactly known for his defensive prowess. Tim Duncan is. So that makes Carlos Boozer&#8217;s line &#8212; 27 points, 14 rebounds, three assists, two steals and two blocked shots &#8212; all that more impressive. He went 12-20 (60%) from the field and regularly scored on Duncan, who has been named to the All-Defensive team 12 times in his illustrious career.</p>
<p>The final score should be no surprise. The game was in Utah, and the Jazz had their backs up against the wall a little bit as they started out the season with a 1-3 record, which included a home loss to the Rockets. </p>
<p>Spurs rookie DeJuan Blair had another nice game, posting 14 points and nine rebounds in 21 minutes. He&#8217;s averaging 9.8 points and 8.5 rebounds through four games and is shooting better than 70% from the field. The Spurs will use him extensively during the season to keep Duncan as fresh as possible for a playoff run.</p>
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		<title>2009 NBA Preview: Impact Rookies</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/10/22/2009-nba-preview-impact-rookies/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/10/22/2009-nba-preview-impact-rookies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Oct 2009 19:03:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[External NBA]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Blake Griffin]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Brandon Jennings]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=27262</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every year, first-year players greatly impact the NBA regular season. They tend to thrive on bad teams for two reasons: 1) the best players generally go early in the draft to struggling franchises, and 2) those teams need their services so they play heavy minutes. In fact, over the last three years, the players that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://search.espn.go.com/blake-griffin/photo/8" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2009/1010/nba_g_griffin_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Every year, first-year players greatly impact the NBA regular season. They tend to thrive on bad teams for two reasons: 1) the best players generally go early in the draft to struggling franchises, and 2) those teams need their services so they play heavy minutes. In fact, over the last three years, the players that made the All-Rookie First Team played an average of 29.0 minutes per game. Playing time is opportunity, and with opportunity comes production.</p>
<p>Over that span, players that were named to the All-Rookie First Team played on teams with a combined 500-730 (.407) record. Only four players &#8212; Andrea Bargnani and Jorge Garbajosa on the 2006-07 Raptors, Luis Scola on the 2007-08 Rockets and Michael Beasley on the 2008-09 Heat &#8212; played on teams with a winning record. The other 11 players were on teams that averaged 25 wins.</p>
<p>Looking ahead to the 2009-10 NBA season, there are a number of rookies that will get big minutes on bad teams. I&#8217;m going to rank them in order of what I perceive to be their talent plus their opportunity, because a rookie needs both to succeed in his first year. Fantasy hoopsters should take note: Rookies can be great picks on draft day, if you know which ones to pick.</p>
<p><strong>1. Blake Griffin, Clippers</strong><br />
In the preseason, Griffin is averaging 14.7 points and 8.5 rebounds in 28.5 minutes per game. The Clippers found a taker for Zach Randolph to clear the way for Griffin to start at power forward, and he should be a fixture there for the next few years. I expect he&#8217;ll get 33-35 minutes per game during the regular season, so 16-17 points and 9+ rebounds are a reasonable expectation. From a fantasy perspective, he&#8217;s currently PF19 off the board, but will likely finish as the PF11 or better if he stays healthy. <em><strong>10/27 Update:</strong> <a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/10/27/blake-griffin-to-miss-six-weeks-with-a-stress-fracture/">He didn&#8217;t stay healthy.</a> Griffin will miss six weeks with a stress fracture in his knee.</em></p>
<p><span id="more-27262"></span></p>
<p><strong>2. Tyreke Evans, Kings</strong><br />
Evans has started each of the Kings&#8217; five preseason games and is averaging 15.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists in 33.8 minutes per game. While he&#8217;s not a traditional point guard, the Kings want him to attack the rim and then make the right decision based on how the defense responds. His preseason numbers are a pretty good estimate for his production this season, so it looks like he is Griffin&#8217;s biggest competition for Rookie of the Year honors. Fantasy-wise, he is currently PG32 in live drafts, but if his preseason numbers translate (and he cuts back on the turnovers a bit), he&#8217;d finish in the top 20.</p>
<p><a href="http://search.espn.go.com/results?searchString=brandon%20jennings&#038;start=15&#038;dims=8" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2009/0608/nba_g_jennings_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p><strong>3. Brandon Jennings, Bucks</strong><br />
Jennings was the Naismith Prep Player of the Year in 2008 and spent last year playing professionally in Italy. He still has a lot to learn about shot selection, but his preseason assist/turnover ratio (2.20) isn&#8217;t far off Derrick Rose&#8217;s rookie year ratio (2.52). Jennings is averaging 11.6 points, 6.3 assists and 2.7 rebounds in 25.7 preseason minutes, so if he can get along with Scott Skiles and start this season, he&#8217;ll have a great shot at the All-Rookie Team. From a fantasy perspective, he should be able to produce like D.J. Augustin did last year.</p>
<p><strong>4. James Harden, Thunder</strong><br />
In 27.6 preseason minutes, Harden is averaging 11.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. These aren&#8217;t great numbers, but Harden is going to get plenty of minutes at off guard for the Thunder. Scouts considered him one of the most &#8220;NBA-ready&#8221; players in last year&#8217;s draft, so he should work out the kinks pretty quickly. For now, I&#8217;d stay away from Harden in fantasy drafts, but once he finds his shot and settles in, he should start posting some nice lines.</p>
<p><strong>5. DeJuan Blair, Spurs</strong><br />
Blair is killing people in the preseason, averaging 14.7 points and 8.2 rebounds in 18.0 minutes per game. There&#8217;s room on the Spurs&#8217; front line for that kind of production. He&#8217;s likely to play behind Antonio McDyess, and his knees are something of a concern, but when the guy is on the court, he&#8217;s a monster. He is currently PF31 in fantasy drafts, and while he&#8217;s not likely to keep up this production per minute, his playing time should increase. An efficient 12/8 is worth having on your roster, so take a flier on Blair in the late rounds.</p>
<p><em><strong>Other players to watch:</strong> DeMarr DeRozan, Raptors; Jonny Flynn, Timberwolves; Stephen Curry, Warriors; Gerald Henderson, Bobcats; Taj Gibson, Bulls; Tyler Hansbrough, Pacers; Hasheem Thabeet, Grizzlies; Sam Young, Grizzlies</em></p>
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		<title>2009 NBA Draft: Cheers &amp; Jeers</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/26/2009-nba-draft-cheers-jeers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/26/2009-nba-draft-cheers-jeers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2009 19:00:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[College Basketball]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=20628</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s waaaaaaaay too early to start judging the 2009 NBA Draft, but that&#8217;s not going to stop me (or anyone else, for that matter) from trying. It takes at least three years before a draft class really shakes out, so there&#8217;s no reason to fly off the handle criticizing (or praising) a team for what [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://search.espn.go.com/dejuan-blair/photo/8" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://assets.espn.go.com/photo/2009/0623/chicago_u_blair_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s waaaaaaaay too early to start judging the 2009 NBA Draft, but that&#8217;s not going to stop me (or anyone else, for that matter) from trying. It takes at least three years before a draft class really shakes out, so there&#8217;s no reason to fly off the handle criticizing (or praising) a team for what they did on Thursday night.</p>
<p>That said, as the draft wore on, there were some picks I liked and some that I didn&#8217;t. This is by no means the final say on whether or not the pick is good or bad; it&#8217;s just a snapshot that&#8217;s based on what we know right now.</p>
<p>So let&#8217;s jump the gun:</p>
<p><strong>CHEERS TO&#8230;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Thunder: #3 James Harden</strong><br />
I don&#8217;t know that Russell Westbrook is really a point guard, but Harden projects to be a great fit in OKC.</p>
<p><strong>Sixers: #17 Jrue Holiday</strong><br />
The talented freshman worked out for most of the lottery teams and was reportedly up and down leading up to the draft. With this much PG depth, I figured <a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/25/2009-nba-consensus-mock-draft-625/#more-20526">someone would slip</a> and the Sixers were the beneficiary. In Holiday, they get a lottery talent and their point guard of the future, though Lawson would have been able to come in and help the Sixers more immediately.</p>
<p><strong>Nuggets: #18 Ty Lawson</strong><br />
I thought he&#8217;d go to a team in more need of PG help, but the Nuggets swooped in and snatched him up. At the very least, I think he&#8217;s going to be a capable starter.</p>
<p><strong>Grizzlies: #36 Sam Young</strong><br />
At 24, Young doesn&#8217;t have the upside of many of the players drafted ahead of him, but he&#8217;s already a better player than most, as well. If he can improve his handle, he could be a starter-quality small forward.</p>
<p><strong>Spurs: #37 DeJuan Blair</strong><br />
Think this guy played with a chip on his shoulder before? Just wait and see what kind of energy he brings in 15-25 minutes playing for the Spurs. I know his knees are an issue, but I&#8217;m shocked that he wasn&#8217;t picked earlier in the second round.</p>
<p><strong>Hornets: #43 Marcus Thornton</strong><br />
The Hornets have issues on the wing and they took a point guard with their first pick. They made up for it in the second round by acquiring Thornton, an off guard, from the Heat. He&#8217;s a great scorer and can make contested jumpers. </p>
<p><strong>JEERS TO&#8230;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Timberwolves: #5 Ricky Rubio / #6 Jonny Flynn</strong><br />
It&#8217;s not that I don&#8217;t like the individual players or the individual picks; <a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/26/making-sense-of-the-timberwolves-first-two-picks/">they just don&#8217;t make any sense when picked together</a>. I don&#8217;t know how a Rubio/Flynn backcourt will be successful. Had the T-Wolves drafted Stephen Curry with one of the picks, it would have made a lot more sense.</p>
<p><strong>Jazz: #20 Eric Maynor</strong><br />
Maynor is a good all-around player, and maybe the best that was available, so let&#8217;s not be too hard on the Jazz here. Still, how many minutes is he going to play behind Deron Williams? If he turns out to be a player, they can use him as an asset, so maybe they didn&#8217;t feel that way about any of the frontline players that were available.</p>
<p><strong>Hornets: #21 Darren Collison</strong><br />
New Orleans has star/superstar quality players at PG, PF and C, and a good young prospect in Julian Wright at small forward, so off guard seems to be their biggest need. Like Utah, the Hornets went with a point guard to back up their best player. I like Collison, I just don&#8217;t like this pick for New Orleans (though they made up for it in the second round).</p>
<p><strong>Blazers: #31 Jeff Pendergraph / #33 Dante Cunningham</strong><br />
I don&#8217;t have a problem with the players themselves, but with the fact that Portland passed on DeJuan Blair twice in the second round (where the financial risk is much lower if his health turns out to be a problem). They could have used his toughness and rebounding, but were unwilling to roll the dice on his knees.</p>
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		<title>2009 NBA Consensus Mock Draft (6/25)</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/25/2009-nba-consensus-mock-draft-625/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/25/2009-nba-consensus-mock-draft-625/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2009 21:17:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=20526</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The draft kicks off (or is it &#8220;tips off&#8221;?) in less than three hours, so I thought it would be fun to publish one last edition of the consensus mock draft. I pulled in mocks from SI.com and ProBasketballNews since they are current and are well respected enough for NBA.com to use in their consensus. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The draft kicks off (or is it &#8220;tips off&#8221;?) in less than three hours, so I thought it would be fun to publish one last edition of the consensus mock draft. I pulled in mocks from <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/ian_thomsen/06/24/mock.draft4/index.html" target="_blank">SI.com</a> and <a href="http://probasketballnews.com/story/?storyid=581" target="_blank">ProBasketballNews</a> since they are current and are well respected enough for NBA.com to use in their <a href="http://www.nba.com/2009/news/features/06/10/consensus/index.html" target="_blank">consensus</a>.</p>
<p>If three or more mocks made a pick, then it&#8217;s considered majority rules and that pick is listed in bold with the number of votes next to it in parenthesis. For those picks that have two or fewer mocks agreeing on a pick, I make the pick for them. For example, the five mocks have five different players going to the Knicks, so I made my best guess &#8212; Jrue Holiday. I went with Jennings over Flynn for the Bucks at #10 because Chad Ford reported that the Bucks are in love with Jennings&#8217; upside. Et cetera.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/consensus-mock-draft-80.gif"><img src="http://www.scoresreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/consensus-mock-draft-80.gif" alt="" title="consensus-mock-draft-80" width="477" height="491" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-20524" /></a></p>
<p>A few random thoughts&#8230;</p>
<p>- Even though the #5 and #6 picks aren&#8217;t true consensus picks, three mocks had the T-Wolves using one of those back-to-back picks on Stephen Curry, while three mocks had the T-Wolves using the other pick on James Harden &#8212; who cares who is picked first? (Besides the players, of course. Their salary depends on it!)</p>
<p>- I&#8217;d be a little surprised if the Thunder drafted Rubio and kept him. Although I don&#8217;t think it would be a bad move, as Russell Westbrook is too much of a shoot-first point guard in my opinion, Westbrook&#8217;s camp has been pretty adamant that he doesn&#8217;t want to move off the ball. If OKC sees Westbrook as a point guard, then the best fit appears to be James Harden.</p>
<p><span id="more-20526"></span></p>
<p>- Tyreke Evans&#8217; stock has moved up on the heels of two good workouts for Minnesota and Sacramento. I&#8217;d be surprised if he&#8217;s still around at #7.</p>
<p>- Minnesota is poised to come out of the draft with two pretty good guard prospects. Curry and Harden would be a nice addition to a lineup that already includes emerging star Al Jefferson and efficient power forward Kevin Love. I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;ll keep the pick, but how about Austin Daye at #18? DX has him rated as the #2 small forward in this draft, and if he turns out to be a player, the T-Wolves would be in business.</p>
<p>- The chances are pretty good that a nice point guard prospect slips to the Sixers at #17 and maybe even to the Hawks at #19. It seems unlikely that the Nets (#11), Bobcats (#12), Pistons (#15), Bulls (#16) and T-Wolves (#18) would be in the market for a point guard with those picks, so whomever slips past the Bucks at #10 and the Pacers at #13 might very well be available at #17 or #19.</p>
<p>- I&#8217;m interested to see who the Hornets get at #21. They have Julian Wright who can play the 3, but who are they developing at off guard? This draft is thin on talent at the 2, but Marcus Thornton and Wayne Ellington are both interesting prospects. New Orleans needs a guy who can knock down shots.</p>
<p>- Tyler Hansbrough was invited to the festivities in New York, so he may not be around until #16 unless the NBA wanted him there as the face of the senior class of college basketball. He could go #11 to New Jersey or #12 to the Bobcats, but both teams seem to have a stronger interest in a wing player.</p>
<p>- If Blair or Hansbrough are there at #20, I wouldn&#8217;t expect the Jazz to pass, but stranger things have happened. They&#8217;re probably going to lose Carlos Boozer this summer, so their biggest need is up front and both guys definitely fit the bill.</p>
<p>- The chances of finding a good center outside of the lottery are slim, so if Mullens does indeed go with the #15 pick or later, it&#8217;s going to be especially interesting to watch him develop.</p>
<p>- James Johnson has seen his stock fluctuate wildly over the course of the past few weeks. He went from being a late lottery pick to a late-round guy, and now his name is being mentioned in the top 10 again. </p>
<p>- As a Bucks fan, I&#8217;m not too keen on the idea of the team drafting a point guard when they already have Ramon Sessions on the roster. I think he&#8217;s better right now than any of the prospects in the draft, and he&#8217;s only 23. That said, I understand why they&#8217;d want to go PG in this draft since that&#8217;s where the talent is. I hope Jordan Hill falls to them, but I&#8217;d be reasonably happy with Flynn or Jennings. Between those two, I think Flynn is more likely to become a &#8220;Milwaukee guy,&#8221; but Jennings seems to have loads of upside. How would he and Scott Skiles mesh? Now that Richard Jefferson is gone, DeRozan is a possibility (though it&#8217;s a little worrisome that John Hollinger&#8217;s Draft Rater <a href="http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/18/john-hollingers-draft-rater-likes-lawson/" target="_blank">is so down on him</a>.)</p>
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		<title>2009 NBA Mock Draft Version 3.0 + Updated Consensus</title>
		<link>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/22/2009-nba-mock-draft-version-30-updated-consensus/</link>
		<comments>http://www.scoresreport.com/2009/06/22/2009-nba-mock-draft-version-30-updated-consensus/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 19:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paulsen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.scoresreport.com/?p=20302</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The draft is just a few days away, so it&#8217;s a good time to take one final stab at mocking the first round of this draft. I&#8217;ll continue to update the consensus draft this week, but this will be my last attempt at predicting what will happen this Thursday. First, let&#8217;s take a look at [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/draft" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2009/0622/nba_g_thabeet3ts_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>The draft is just a few days away, so it&#8217;s a good time to take one final stab at mocking the first round of this draft. I&#8217;ll continue to update the consensus draft this week, but this will be my last attempt at predicting what will happen this Thursday.</p>
<p>First, let&#8217;s take a look at the most recent consensus. Chad Ford released the <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/draft2009/columns/story?columnist=ford_chad&#038;page=MockDraft-090622" target="_blank">most recent version</a> of his mock draft today, NBADraft.net <a href="http://www.nbadraft.net/2009mock_draft" target="_blank">also updated</a> today, while DraftExpress updated <a href="http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-mock-draft/2009/" target="_blank">their mock</a> yesterday.</p>
<p><img width="477" height="590" src="http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l256/jpaul34/consensus-mock-draft-60.gif" alt="" /></p>
<p>Now I&#8217;ll go, pick by pick, through the first round, taking the consensus into account while also throwing in my $0.02 here and there.</p>
<p><strong>#1 CLIPPERS</strong><br />
The Clips have shown no signs of trading away their opportunity to draft Blake Griffin. There is much fluidity with the next few picks, but the Oklahoma product is pretty much guaranteed to be the first pick. The Clippers will then (reportedly) try to move Zach Randolph or Chris Kaman, though it might be wise to move forward with Kaman and Griffin in the front court, Baron Davis at the point, and Eric Gordon and Al Thornton on the wing. Randolph is going to be tough to move. (I still can&#8217;t believe that Mike Dunleavy traded for him last season.)<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Blake Griffin, PF, Oklahoma</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#2 GRIZZLIES</strong><br />
The consensus says that Hasheem Thabeet will be the pick and I don&#8217;t disagree, even though he just pulled out of a workout with Memphis due to a shoulder injury. DraftExpress thinks that Memphis will go with James Harden and move O.J. Mayo to the point, which they say is his natural position. I don&#8217;t know that they&#8217;ve given up on Mike Conley yet, so I think they will go big with this pick. Their biggest need is at power forward, so trading down and drafting Jordan Hill is a possibility. But if they stand pat, Thabeet could very well be the pick, even though he doesn&#8217;t seem to want to play in Memphis.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Hasheem Thabeet, C, UConn</strong><br />
</em></p>
<p><span id="more-20302"></span></p>
<p><strong>#3 THUNDER</strong><br />
This pick mostly depends on what the Thunder think they have in Russell Westbrook. Is he their point guard of the future? If so, OKC might go with Harden, a savvy off guard who tested much better athletically at the combine than expected. If not, they could go with Ricky Rubio or another point guard and move Westbrook to off guard. If Thabeet is available, he&#8217;s a possibility as well.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: James Harden, SG, Arizona State</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#4 KINGS</strong><br />
The consensus says that Rubio will be the pick even though his visit to Sacramento didn&#8217;t go all that well because he was too sick to work out. He has time to make another visit, but I think Evans&#8217; performance at a recent workout has made him the frontrunner in Sacramento.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Tyreke Evans, PG, Memphis</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#5 WIZARDS</strong><br />
The Wizards think they&#8217;re in &#8220;win now&#8221; mode, so they should probably trade this pick for some veteran help, especially at off guard. If they keep the pick, they could go with one of the combo guards &#8212; Holiday, Evans, Curry or Harden, if available &#8212; or go for some upside in the front court and draft Jordan Hill. They are reportedly really high on Rubio, even though he isn&#8217;t the greatest fit with Gilbert Arenas in the Wizards&#8217; backcourt.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Ricky Rubio, PG, Spain</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#6 TIMBERWOLVES</strong><br />
Minnesota looks to be set on drafting a point guard, which will allow Randy Foye to play off guard (probably his natural position). They should have their pick of Curry, Holiday, Evans, Flynn and Jennings, but it was Evans that reportedly dominated the massive point guard workout in Minnesota. Curry didn&#8217;t attend, but with both Rubio and Evans already off the board, he may be their pick.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Stephen Curry, PG, Davidson</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#7 WARRIORS</strong><br />
Golden State really likes Stephen Curry, but now that he&#8217;s off the board, this becomes a crapshoot. Larry Riley said recently that he&#8217;d like some &#8220;beef,&#8221; and Jordan Hill fits the bill. Brandon Jennings and Terrance Williams are reportedly quite high on the Warriors&#8217; draft board.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Jordan Hill, PF, Arizona</strong></em></p>
<p><a href="http://search.espn.go.com/jrue-holiday/photo/8" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://assets.espn.go.com/photo/2009/0619/ncb_i_holiday_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p><strong>#8 KNICKS</strong><br />
The Knicks would like to draft Curry or Hill here, but with both players gone, look for them to go with another point guard. Jennings, Holiday, Flynn and even Ty Lawson are possibilities here. They&#8217;re reportedly <a href="http://www.nypost.com/seven/06182009/sports/knicks/knicks__holiday_in_for_another_look_174801.htm" target="_blank">trying to get Holiday in for a second workout</a>, which tells me that he may be their backup plan if Curry and Hill are off the board.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Jrue Holiday, PG, UCLA</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#9 RAPTORS</strong><br />
DeMar DeRozan has been penciled in for Toronto for the last few weeks, though NBADraft.net has the Raptors taking Gerald Henderson in their most recent mock. John Hollinger&#8217;s Draft Rater doesn&#8217;t like DeRozan, but there&#8217;s no telling if Bryan Colangelo, who <a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/draft2009/insider/news/story?id=4270096" target="_blank">has a reputation for having a great eye for talent</a>, will care.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: DeMar DeRozan, GF, USC</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#10 BUCKS</strong><br />
From the sound of it, GM John Hammond is looking for a point guard here, and with Jonny Flynn, Brandon Jennings and Ty Lawson on the board, he has a nice group to choose from. Of that group, I think Flynn is most likely to be the pick. He&#8217;s the best defender of the bunch (including Evans and Curry) and has the right attitude to thrive in a small market like Milwaukee. The Bucks already have Ramon Sessions, and probably should be looking at a front court pick like DeJuan Blair (or moving up for Jordan Hill), but it sounds like they have point guard on the brain. Jrue Holiday is another possibility, if available.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Jonny Flynn, PG, Syracuse</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#11 NETS</strong><br />
Even though the Nets already have Devin Harris, it&#8217;s entirely possible that they&#8217;ll decide to go with the best player available, even if it&#8217;s a point guard like Flynn, Jennings or Lawson. Gerald Henderson is another possibility with Vince Carter getting on in years, but the rumors all seem to be swirling around a front court pick like DeJuan Blair or Tyler Hansbrough. Both players are hard-nosed rebounding types, but they each have their faults. For Blair, it seems to be his height (6&#8217;5&#8243; w/o shoes) and concerns about his knees. For Hansbrough, it&#8217;s a perceived lack of upside. Blair&#8217;s reach makes up for his height, and I think his game will translate a little better to the NBA given his strong post moves inside. (Hansbrough is more robotic on the block.)<br />
<em><strong>Pick: DeJuan Blair, PF, Pittsburgh</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#12 BOBCATS</strong><br />
Again, Charlotte could very well go with Jennings or Lawson here and maybe look to make a trade with a team searching for point guard help. If not, they&#8217;ll probably look to the wing where a guy like Gerald Henderson could really make an impact. He&#8217;s a terrific athlete and has an improving offensive game. He should fit in with what Larry Brown is trying to do.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Henderson, SG, Duke</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#13 PACERS</strong><br />
Indiana would probably be thrilled if they have the choice between Brandon Jennings and Ty Lawson here. Lately, the buzz about Lawson has been good, and concerns about slipping out of the lottery has Jennings working out for some of the teams working in the mid-first round. With GM Larry Bird calling the shots, I think he&#8217;ll go with the safer pick (Lawson) leaving the upside of Jennings on the table.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Ty Lawson, PG, North Carolina</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#14 SUNS</strong><br />
While there are a few guys that might be able to help immediately, with Steve Nash&#8217;s career on the decline, GM Steve Kerr could look at finding his eventual replacement. I don&#8217;t think he would pass on Jennings&#8217; potential here. The Suns seem to want to move forward with Nash running the show, so it would give Jennings a year or three to develop.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Brandon Jennings, PG, via Italy</strong></em></p>
<p><a href="http://search.espn.go.com/earl-clark/photo/8" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://assets.espn.go.com/photo/2009/0315/fantasy_u_eclark_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p><strong>#15 PISTONS</strong><br />
The word is that the <a href="http://www.nbadraft.net/node/7444" target="_blank">Pistons have made a promise</a> to draft B.J. Mullens if he&#8217;s on the board at #15, but Mullens himself says <a href="http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/48646612.html" target="_blank">there is no promise</a>, and Chad Ford says that the team is more interested in Earl Clark. If Clark beefs up, he can play the 4, so he&#8217;d help with the Pistons&#8217; problems on the front line. (And if they draft Clark, what does that mean for Carlos Boozer potentially signing with Detroit?)<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Earl Clark, F, Louisville</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#16 BULLS</strong><br />
Chicago reportedly has interest in Hansbrough here, but they may not be able to pass on the upside of B.J. Mullens. They should be aware that there are long odds of a seven-footer drafted outside of the lottery going on to have a great NBA career.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: B.J. Mullens, C, Ohio State</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#17 SIXERS</strong><br />
Philly fans may be hoping that Ty Lawson or Brandon Jennings slips to them here at #17, but Eric Maynor would be a nice pick as well. He&#8217;s being overlooked in a great point guard draft, but he does everything well and should be able to contribute immediately, a la Courtney Lee. Jeff Teague is another possibility. His outside shooting should help Elton Brand down low.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Eric Maynor, PG, VCU</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#18 TIMBERWOLVES</strong><br />
If Minnesota gets their point guard (Evans) at #6, their fans should be happy if they can land someone like Terrance Williams at #18. Corey Brewer&#8217;s career is off to a rocky start, and Randy Foye isn&#8217;t exactly lighting things up, so Williams gives the T-Wolves another option on the wing.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Terrance Williams, GF, Louisville</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#19 HAWKS</strong><br />
Truth be told, the Hawks should have taken Chris Paul or Deron Williams in the &#8217;05 Draft, but they didn&#8217;t and they&#8217;re still looking for their point guard of the future after drafting Acie Law two years ago. Enter Jeff Teague, a smooth shooter in the same mold as current Hawk Mike Bibby.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Jeff Teague, PG, Wake Forest</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#20 JAZZ</strong><br />
I may be wrong, but if Hansbrough is available at #20, I don&#8217;t see the Jazz passing on him. It&#8217;s just too good of a fit (especially with Carlos Boozer likely on his way out of town).<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Tyler Hansbrough, PF, North Carolina</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#21 HORNETS</strong><br />
New Orleans needs wings who can shoot, because Peja Stojakovic and Rasual Butler aren&#8217;t going to get the Hornets to the Finals. While Wayne Ellington is a possibility, LSU&#8217;s Marcus Thornton might be the better fit. He&#8217;s sort of a Rip Hamilton type who scores a lot off of screens. He also does a nice job of knocking down contested jumpers which will help in the NBA.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Marcus Thornton, G, LSU</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#22 MAVERICKS</strong><br />
The Mavs probably need to think point guard first, but they might still be in denial about that Devin Harris-for-Jason Kidd trade. Darren Collison is a possibility, but the Mavs should be able to re-sign Kidd for another season or two, and they may look at trading Josh Howard due to his tendency to be an off-court distraction. This is where James Johnson comes in. He can play either forward position and was considered a borderline lottery talent before questions about his attitude started to weigh down his stock.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: James Johnson, F, Wake Forest</strong></em></p>
<p><a href="http://search.espn.go.com/austin-daye/photo/8" target="_blank"><img height="268" width="477" src="http://assets.espn.go.com/photo/2009/0206/ncb_a_daye_576.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p><strong>#23 KINGS</strong><br />
If the Kings go with a point guard at #4, they would have a tough time passing on the potential of Austin Daye here. Draft Express has him rated as the #2 small forward in this draft, but he&#8217;s going to need some time to develop, and they have nothing but time in Sacramento.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Austin Daye, SF, Gonzaga</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#24 TRAIL BLAZERS</strong><br />
I think Darren Collison is a sleeper at point guard in this PG-heavy draft. He&#8217;s a floor general who plays great defense and can hit the open jumper. He doesn&#8217;t have the three-point range of Steve Blake, but he already does everything else better. He would be a nice fit in Portland, assuming they keep this pick. (They&#8217;ll probably trade it.)<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Darren Collison, PG, UCLA</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#25 THUNDER</strong><br />
Assuming OKC goes with Harden at #3, they&#8217;ll probably look to the front court with this pick. At this point, there are a number of power forwards &#8212; Josh Heytvelt, Gani Lawal, Jeff Pendergraph, Taj Gibson, Omri Casspi, Derrick Brown or DeMarre Carroll &#8212; who could help the Thunder up front. Two of the mocks say that Chase Budinger is a good pick here, but unless they get Thabeet at #3, I think they&#8217;re going to go big. How about Casspi, who has played well in workouts this summer? The Thunder can wait for the 20-year-old to develop.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Omri Casspi, F, Israel</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#26 BULLS</strong><br />
They drafted a center at #16, so they might look to the wing to shore things up in case Ben Gordon leaves via free agency. Wayne Ellington shot the ball great in the tournament and he has the potential to be a pretty good fit alongside Derrick Rose in the backcourt when John Salmons eventually leaves.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Wayne Ellington, SG, North Carolina</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#27 GRIZZLIES</strong><br />
If they go with Thabeet at #2, they might turn to the backcourt with this pick and draft Florida&#8217;s Nick Calathes, who is a good finisher and spot up shooter. There are also a number of power forwards still on the board that could provide some defense and rebounding.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Nick Calathes, PG, Florida</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#28 TIMBERWOLVES</strong><br />
The T-Wolves could use a little more beef up front, and Gonzaga&#8217;s Josh Heytvelt has the outside stroke to complement Al Jefferson&#8217;s post up game. Along with Kevin Love, the trio could give Minny a nice rotation up front, though the T-Wolves may elect to draft a player with more athleticism.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Josh Heytvelt, C, Gonzaga</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#29 LAKERS</strong><br />
With Derek Fisher getting older and Shannon Brown entering free agency, the Lakers have a few questions in the backcourt. They might also look to shore up the small forward position if it looks like Trevor Ariza or Lamar Odom isn&#8217;t going to return. Sweden&#8217;s Jonas Jerebko is a versatile 6&#8217;9&#8243; forward who could potentially fill Odom&#8217;s role at the 3/4 spot.<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Jonas Jerebko, F, Sweden</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>#30 CAVALIERS</strong><br />
With Anderson Varejao&#8217;s future in Cleveland unknown, the Cavs have their pick of several power forward types who could bring defense and rebounding. How about USC&#8217;s Taj Gibson, who is a pretty good shotblocker?<br />
<em><strong>Pick: Taj Gibson, PF, USC</strong></em></p>
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