Per the USA Today:

The only sure thing is that Roethlisberger will sit out at least the four games. However, the commish likes the way the quarterback has reacted to the suspension. (Click here for Steelers’ schedule)

“He is doing great,” Goodell said. “… I’ve been encouraged by what I have seen. He’s understanding the seriousness of the issue. I think that’s a very positive development.”

For those fantasy owners who made it through my rather extensive QBBC article (or at least read the parts printed in bold), Roethlisberger is an interesting middle- to late-round pick this year. He’s usually underrated because the Steelers are still perceived to be a running team when in recent years they have been far more willing to throw the ball. And now this suspension has depressed his value even further.

But it looks like the commissioner may reduce his suspension from six games to four, and if he does, it would only serve to enhance Roethlisberger’s already appealing fantasy value.

As outlined in the aforementioned QBBC article, Roethlisberger forms a nice platoon with both Eli Manning and Matt Ryan (and, by the way, Joe Flacco). If Goodell reduces his suspension to four games, it means that he would return in Week 6 after the Steelers’ bye. That matchup is against the Browns, and it’s a tasty matchup indeed. In fact, it’s better than any of the matchups of the other QBs in play. The question is, would you want to start him in his first start of the season? Wouldn’t he be rusty?

That’s your call, but I wouldn’t be afraid to start him, not if he’s facing the Browns after he’s had two weeks to take all the snaps in practice. It wouldn’t be that much different than the first game of the season.

The downside of the lowered suspension is that his average draft position is probably going to rise. Still, only the savvy owners are going to jump on a guy that is going to miss four games; In recent years, Brandon Marshall and Steve Smith both went about two rounds later than they should have because they were facing suspensions. Generally speaking, Big Ben is an undervalued 7th or 8th round QB, which means he’ll likely go in the 9th or the 10th.

Then came the four-game lull in the mid-season. Over that span he averaged 208 passing yards and threw just one TD against eight (eight!) interceptions. Granted, three of those games – the Giants, the Redskins and the Colts – were against tough pass defenses, but other than a few nagging injures, there really is no excuse for his performance during that span. In the fourth game (versus San Diego), he started to look like himself again, throwing for 308 yards on 31 of 41 passing.

Many owners were justifiably hesitant to start him this week, as evidenced by his 49% start percentage in all ESPN leagues. The Bengals’ defense is better than usual this year fantasy-wise and a big game for Big Ben was no sure thing. But for the second straight week, Roethlisberger looked pretty good. He completed 17 of 30 passes for 243 yards and a TD, and also ran for a TD in the fourth quarter. His numbers would have been even better if not for a couple of dropped passes and a costly offensive pass interference play that brought back a big gainer by Hines Ward.

So can we trust him? Well, sort of. His upcoming schedule – @ NE, DAL, @ BAL and @ TEN – looks worse on paper than it does in person. The Patriots, Cowboys and Ravens all have injury issues on defense, so Roethlisberger should be able to post decent numbers over that span. I wouldn’t plan on starting him in Week 16 against the Titans, however. That’s just asking for trouble.