2009 NFL Week 11 Picks & Predictions
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/20/2009 @ 5:11 pm)
Here are my locks (locks, ha!) for Week 11 in the NFL:
Chargers (6-3) at Broncos (6-3), 4:15PM ET
Denver quarterback Kyle Orton is questionable this week with an ankle injury, which means Chris Simms could make his first start of the season. Simms looked Brady Quinn-like bad in a loss to the Redskins last week and I wouldn’t expect much out of him if I were a Broncos fan. If Simms start, I fully expect the Chargers to load up to stop Knowshon Moreno and force the former Bucs’ QB to beat them through the air. It’s not going to happen and even if Orton does start, how effective can he be on a bum ankle? About as effective as he was last year for the Bears on a bum ankle? The Chargers are hot, have revenge on their minds and are eyeing sole possession of first place in the AFC West. Plus, Philip Rivers is playing just as well as Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Kurt Warner. I’m taking the Chargers to win outright and to cover.
Odds: Chargers –2.5.
Prediction: Chargers 31, Broncos 16.
Redskins (3-6) at Cowboys (6-3), 1:00PM ET
Now that the Cowboys have once again established that they’re still the same inconsistent team under Wade Phillips as they’ve always been, I’m wondering if the Redskins can pull off a huge upset this week in Dallas. Then again, without the brutal play of Chris Simms’ aiding them in victory, I can’t see Washington winning this weekend. In fact, I see this game being a blow out since the Redskins will once again be without running back Clinton Portis and Albert Haynesworth is doubtful to play as well. The Redskins have shown the ability to stop the pass, but if the Cowboys can control this game with Marion Barber and Felix Jones then Washington doesn’t stand a chance. Dallas’ offense should rebound from its horrid performance last week as long as the ground attack can help set things up for Tony Romo and the passing game. Washington just doesn’t have the players to compete with Dallas for four quarters and given how bad the Redskins’ O-line has played this season, they’re going to have trouble stopping the Cowboys’ solid pass rush.
Odds: Cowboys –11
Prediction: Cowboys 34, Redskins 13.
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: NFL
Tags: 2009 NFL Week 11, Atlanta Falcons, Chargers Broncos free pick prediction, Chicago Bears, Chris Simms, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Eagles Bears free pick prediction, Eli Manning, Giants Falcons free pick prediction, Headlines, Jason Campbell, Jason Snelling, Jay Cutler, Jerious Norwood, Knowshon Moreno, Kyle Orton, Lance Briggs, Matt Forte, Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, New York Giants, nfl expert picks week 11, nfl free picks 2009 week 11, NFL picks predictions, nfl week 11 2009 free picks predictions, nfl week 11 picks predictions, Olin Kreutz, Orlando Pace, Philadelphia Eagles, Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers, Tony Romo, Washington Redskins

Biggest injury concern: Orton, Turner, Brown or Benson?
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/19/2009 @ 6:15 pm)
Last week, several teams’ playoff hopes took major hits as key players all left their respective games due to various injuries.
The Broncos (Kyle Orton), Falcons (Michael Turner), Dolphins (Ronnie Brown) and Bengals (Cedric Benson) seem to be bitten he hardest by the injury bug but which injury should concern their respective teams the most? Let’s break down all four situations.
Broncos: Without Orton, Denver stands little chance of beating the Chargers at home this Sunday and even less of a chance of winning the AFC West. Orton isn’t Peyton Manning, but he might as well be the Broncos’ version of the star Colts’ QB because Chris Simms proved last week that he isn’t capable of keeping Denver afloat if Orton misses significant time. Now maybe with more preparation Simms will be better, but chances are the Broncos’ hopes of making the playoffs will fall flat with him under center. Orton says that he will play this weekend, even though he has torn ligaments in his left ankle. He admitted last year that he shouldn’t have tried to grit out a right ankle injury when he was playing for the Bears, so there’s a chance that he’s about to make the same mistake twice. This Sunday will be a good indication of how severe Orton’s injury really is.
Falcons: After getting off to a slow start, Turner was back in 2008 form the past couple weeks and even compiled 111 yards on only nine carries against the Panthers last Sunday before suffering a high ankle sprain. Usually those types of injuries take months to heel, but the Falcons don’t seem concerned about Turner missing more than a couple of weeks. The problem is that the Falcons are in the midst of a Wild Card chase in the NFC and they need their bruising back on the field – especially as Matt Ryan continues to struggle in his second year. Atlanta has capable backups in Jason Snelling and Jerious Norwood, but the latter can’t stay healthy and the former doesn’t have much experience. If Ryan can step up and prove he can lead the Falcons through the air, then Turner can rest up and be ready in time for a late-season run. If Ryan falters again like he has been, then Turner might feel the need to rush back from his injury sooner than he (or the team) intends.
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: NFL
Tags: 2009 NFL Week 11, Anthony Stalter, Atlanta Falcons, Cedric Benson, Cedric Benson injury, Cedric Benson playing status, Chris Simms, Denver Broncos, Headlines, Kyle Orton, Kyle Orton injury, Kyle Orton playing status, Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Michael Turner injury, Michael Turner playing status, Ricky Williams, Ronnie Brown, Ronnie Brown out for season

Turner has high ankle sprain; Ryan, Norwood and Snelling must step up
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/16/2009 @ 3:15 pm)
Jay Glazer of FOXSports.com reports that Michael Turner has been diagnosed with a high ankle sprain, although the Falcons are apparently “very optimistic” that the injury won’t keep their star back out too long.
High ankle sprains can sideline players for as little as 2-3 weeks or as long as six months depending on the severity of the injury. In Turner’s case, it sounds like he’ll only be out a couple of weeks but who knows at this point. The Falcons will be fighting for a playoff spot the rest of the season, so it wouldn’t be surprising if Turner came back earlier than expected.
Atlanta has two capable backs in Jerious Norwood and Jason Snelling, although the former can never stay healthy. Norwood has battled concussions and a hip injury for much of the season and hasn’t spent a lot of time on the field.
When healthy, Norwood is a lighting rod and a threat to score every time he gets his hands on the ball, while Snelling looked good on Sunday in the team’s loss to the Panthers. He’s kind of a poor man’s Turner in that he’s a load to bring down, but he has surprising quickness and is a good receiver out of the backfield.
The Falcons could certainly do worse than a combination of Snelling and Norwood – much worse. But the problem is that if Norwood can’t stay healthy, Snelling isn’t the same back as Turner is. He’s more than serviceable, but he’s never been counted on to carry the full load, so Norwood has to recover quickly or else the Falcons’ season could slip away in a hurry.
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: NFL
Tags: 2009 NFL Week 11, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Falcons lose to Panthers, Jason Snelling, Jerious Norwood, Matt Ryan, Matt Ryan must play better, Matt Ryan struggles, Michael Turner, Michael Turner fantasy football status, Michael Turner high ankle sprain, Michael Turner injury, Michael Turner playing status

Matt Ryan is officially in a sophomore slump
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/15/2009 @ 6:10 pm)
For anyone that has actually devoted some time watching Matt Ryan over the past month, it’s hard to argue that he doesn’t look like a completely different quarterback than he did last year – or even at the start of this season. He bails out of plays, he overthrows receivers and he looks frightened in the pocket.
It appears that the dreaded sophomore slump has officially sacked “Matty Ice.”
During the Falcons’ 28-19 loss to the Panthers on Sunday, Ryan looked uncomfortable for most of the first half. He threw a horrible interception just before halftime that led to a Carolina touchdown, which put Atlanta behind 21-10. Then late in the game with the Falcons needing a field goal to take the lead, he again was picked off after he forced a pass downfield to a double-covered Michael Jenkins.
In both cases, Ryan not only made poor throws, but poor decisions – something that didn’t plague him last season.
Of course, Ryan had nothing to do with Jason Elam missing a chip shot field goal one possession before the critical interception. Had Elam made the field goal, the Falcons would have had the opportunity to stop Carolina and eek out a much-needed division win. Instead, Elam shanked the kick like someone with money on the Panthers and put his team in an awful situation.
Getting back to Ryan, he really has no excuse for playing as poorly as he has, because the running game has been productive (unlike earlier in the season when the passing game had to carry the Falcons). Michael Turner (nine carries, 111 yards) suffered a high ankle sprain in the first half and couldn’t return, but Jason Snelling picked up the slack in his place and Ryan just couldn’t deliver. The running game should allow Ryan to make more plays in the passing game but he just hasn’t made the throws.
The Falcons have a great opportunity to earn a Wild Card in the NFC, but they can’t do it if Ryan continues to play as poorly as he has. He needs to rekindle the magic that helped him win the Rookie of the Year Award, or second half collapse for Atlanta is certainly possible.
As for the Panthers, they’re starting to get back to what they did last year: Run the ball and play good defense. It also helps when Jake Delhomme isn’t trying to give games away by throwing the ball to the other team and generally being useless.
With this win, the Panthers have gotten back into contention for the NFC Wild Card.
Update: Turner’s injury could be serious. If he’s out for any extended length of time, the Falcons’ season could be in danger, especially considering Jerious Norwood hasn’t played in weeks due to injuries.
Photo from fOTOGLIF
Posted in: NFL
Tags: 2009 NFL Week 10, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Falcons Panthers recap, Falcons vs. Panthers score recap, Jason Snelling, Matt Ryan, Matt Ryan sophomore jinx, Matt Ryan sophomore slump, Michael Turner, Michael Turner injury, Michael Turner out, nfl week 10 scoreboard

NFL Week 9 MVP Power Rankings
Posted by Mike Farley (11/15/2009 @ 7:00 am)

With Drew Brees and Peyton Manning leading their teams to victory again, barely, there is no good reason to drop them in the rankings here. Meanwhile, Brett Favre and Jared Allen did not play, so we held spots for them, but moved Cedric Benson up based on a second 100-yard rushing performance against the Ravens.
1. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints—Halfway through the season, Brees and his Saints are 8-0 and have a three game lead in their division. Suffice to say, this team appears to be headed toward a first round bye, and their QB is one of the biggest reasons.
2. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts—After a subpar start to 2008 after knee surgery, Manning wanted to get off to a fast start this season, and he has done just that. But what might be more impressive is that after Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark, he’s throwing to guys named Garcon and Collie.
3. Cedric Benson, Cincinnati Bengals—He rushed for 120 yards against the Ravens in Week 5, and 117 yards against them in Week 9. Read that back. That’s two 100 yard games against the Baltimore Ravens, and that’s just sick.
4. Brett Favre, Minnesota Vikings—The old man still has it, much to the dismay of everyone in Northern Wisconsin. You think Ted Thompson is sleeping well lately?
5. Jared Allen, Minnesota Vikings—He’s had two weeks to rest those wheels that never seem to stop moving. Next on Allen’s hit list is that poor Stafford kid in Detroit.
Honorable Mention–Elvis Dumervil, Broncos; Andre Johnson, Texans, Tom Brady, Patriots; Adrian Peterson, Vikings; Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars, Chris Johnson, Titans; Reggie Wayne, Colts; Michael Turner, Falcons; Reggie Wayne, Colts; Steve Smith, Giants
Posted in: 1, NFL
Tags: Adrian Peterson, Andre Johnson, Atlanta Falcons, Austin Collie, Baltimore Ravens, Brett Favre, Cedric Benson, Chris Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals, Dallas Clark, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Drew Brees, Elvis Dumervil, first round bye, football, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jared Allen, Matthew Stafford, Maurice Jones-Drew, Michael Turner, Minnesota Vikings, MVP power rankings, National Football League, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, NFL, NFL MVP power rankings, Peyton Manning, Pierre Garcon, power rankings, Reggie Wayne, Steve Smith, Ted Thompson, Tennessee Titans, Tom Brady, Wisconsin

NFL Week 8 MVP Power Rankings
Posted by Mike Farley (11/08/2009 @ 7:00 am)

The race for MVP rages on at the midway point of the season, and it’s loaded with QBs, for good reason. Brees, Manning and Favre have a combined record of 21-1 and show no signs of slowing down. So we’ll give them their due, for now. Things are going to get mighty interesting, though, in the coming weeks as races get tighter and become closer to being decided, including this race for NFL MVP…..
1. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints—Their games are getting tighter, but it’s not like the Saints just beat a bad Falcons team on Monday night. That was a tough divisional match up and the Saints just keep, you know, marching…oh, forget it.
2. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts—No TDs against the Niners, but Manning still had a Week 8 best of 347 yards. Plus, the Colts remain undefeated.
3. Brett Favre, Minnesota Vikings—Okay, forget that one blemish against Pittsburgh. After another strong showing against his former team, Favre has now thrown for 1925 yards with 16 TDs and just 3 picks. And his team is 7-1. Raise your hand if you expected that kind of success.
4. Jared Allen, Minnesota Vikings—Three more sacks against the Packers. Jon Gruden talked about Allen having a “motor that never stops,” and that’s pretty spot on. Allen is not just playing like defensive player of the year, he’s making a strong case for MVP.
5. Cedric Benson, Cincinnati Bengals—Sorry Cedric, but while you were on bye, Favre and Allen terrorized the Packers, and Chris Johnson and Maurice Jones-Drew racked up a bunch of yards and TDs. We’ll hold you a spot, but let’s see how you do against the Ravens this week.
Honorable Mention–Elvis Dumervil, Broncos; Andre Johnson, Texans, Tom Brady, Patriots; Adrian Peterson, Vikings; Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars, Chris Johnson, Titans; Reggie Wayne, Colts; Matt Schaub, Texans
Posted in: NFL
Tags: Adrian Peterson, Andre Johnson, Atlanta Falcons, Brett Favre, Cedric Benson, Chris Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, Drew Brees, Elvis Dumervil, Falcons, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jared Allen, Jon Gruden, Matt Schaub, Maurice Jones-Drew, Minnesota Vikings, National Football League, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, NFL, NFL MVP, NFL MVP power rankings, Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, San Francisco 49ers, Tennessee Titans, Tom Brady

No need to hit the panic button on Matt Ryan
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/05/2009 @ 12:08 pm)

In his first four games of the 2009 season, Atlanta Falcons second-year quarterback Matt Ryan had a QB rating of 98.0, 122.2, 82.3 and 110.0. He was off to a fantastic start and people started to assume that he would have Tom Brady-like numbers every game.
But in his last three outings, Ryan has QB ratings of 68.4, 66.1 and 46.6 and now all of a sudden he’s drawing comparisons to Rex Grossman. (Okay, so Ryan has never been compared to Grossman, but you get my feeble attempt at exaggerating my point.)
After his three-interception game last Monday night against the Saints, I’ve read at least two articles from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution about how Ryan doesn’t look like the same player he was as a rookie. The overall tone of the articles was that the Falcons should be worried, because “Matty Ice” hasn’t played well in three games.
But people need to take their hand off the ejection button, because Ryan is fine – he’s just going through typical growing pains. He had one of the best (if not the best) rookie season of any quarterback to ever play in the NFL, while leading what many believed was a 3-13 team to an 11-5 record and a playoff berth. Entering his second season, the expectations were sky high and now that he’s not playing well, some want to question whether or not last season was a fluke.
I’ll admit that following his performance in New Orleans on Monday night that he hasn’t looked like the same player he was last year or at the beginning of this year. He seems to be rushing his throws more and making bad decisions. His cool, calm pocket presence has turned into a rushed dance where he doesn’t always work through all of his progressions and set his feet to throw. He also seems to be locking in on Tony Gonzalez or Roddy White and therefore throwing a high number of interceptions. (He’s thrown eight in his last four games.)
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: NFL
Tags: 2009 NFL Week 9, Anthony Stalter, Atlanta Falcons, Falcons Michael Turner, Falcons rumors, Headlines, Matt Ryan, Matt Ryan Atlanta Falcons, Matt Ryan is overrated, Matt Ryan rumors, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, What’s wrong with Matt Ryan?

Matty Ice is still learning
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/03/2009 @ 1:59 am)

With how exceptionally well he played as a rookie last year, it’s easy to forget that Matt Ryan only has 24 career starts under his belt.
Ryan did some great things in the Falcons’ 35-27 loss to the Saints on Monday night, most notably throwing a 68-yard rainbow to Roddy White to cut New Orleans’ lead to 28-21 early in the third quarter. He also found White and Tony Gonzalez on some key third downs to keep the chains moving and leave the Saints’ dynamic offense on the sidelines for most of the second half.
But he also made some mistakes that second year quarterbacks are unfortunately prone to making. Things like zeroing in on Gonzalez or forcing a pass into a well covered White late in the first half that led to a huge defensive touchdown for the Saints. He also looked rushed in the pocket at times and took a couple of unnecessary sacks because he didn’t go through all of his progressions. For a young man who has built the reputation of having ice water in his veins, “Matty Ice” looked uneasy several times when the Falcons needed a big play in the passing game.
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: NFL
Tags: Atlanta Falcons, Drew Brees, Falcons Saints, Falcons Saints Monday Night Football, Jonathan Vilma, Matt Ryan, Matt Ryan Michael Turner, Michael Turner, Monday Night Football recap, Monday night football score, New Orleans Saints, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez

Is the NFC South on the line tonight?
Posted by Anthony Stalter (11/02/2009 @ 4:00 pm)

With over eight games remaining on the schedule, it might be a little early to suggest that a division winner could be theoretically crowned tonight in the NFC South, but a closer look reveals otherwise.
At 6-0, the Saints currently have a two game lead over the 4-2 Falcons in the division. A win tonight and New Orleans will open up a three game lead over Atlanta with nine games remaining for each team. Granted, a lot could happen in nine games but barring injury to Drew Brees the Saints don’t look like a team that will implode in the second half.
A quick peak at the rest of the Saints’ schedule reveals very winnable games against the Panthers (twice), Rams, Bucs (twice) and the Redskins. The only games that present a challenge are home dates with the Patriots (Week 12) and Cowboys (Week 15), as well as a trip to Atlanta in Week 14. The Falcons have a longer roe to hoe, with road games against the Giants and Jets, as well as home games against the Eagles, Saints and pesky Bills. So with all things considered, a loss tonight and a three-game hole would be incredibly tough to climb out of if you’re Atlanta.
Even at 4-2, the Falcons have a lot to prove. Michael Turner is averaging a full YPC less than he did last season, Matt Ryan started off hot but is now fading and the defense has major issues in the secondary. After they were spanked last week in Dallas, the Falcons need a good showing tonight in New Orleans not just to keep pace in the NFC South, but also to prove to themselves that they’re a legitimate playoff contender.
Atlanta will certainly be tested tonight. The Saints have the most balanced offensive attack in the league and if the Falcons can’t generate any pressure on Brees, he’ll light up a secondary that is athletic, but is often overmatched in coverage do to lack of size (Brent Grimes) or technique (Chris Houston). The Falcons’ corners don’t play well in man-to-man coverage, so blitzing extra linebackers isn’t always a possibility. That means the front four of John Abraham, Jonathan Babineaux, Jamaal Anderson and Chauncey Davis must step up and provide a consistent pass rush or else Atlanta will get torched.
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: NFL
Tags: 2009 NFL Week 8, Atlanta Falcons, Chauncey Davis, Drew Brees, Drew Brees Matt Ryan, Falcons vs Saints, Falcons vs Saints Monday Night Football preview, Gregg Williams, Jamaal Anderson, John Abraham, Jonathan Babineaux, Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Monday Night Football, Monday Night Football preview, New Orleans Saints, Saints Falcons, Sean Payton

NFL Week 7 COY Power Rankings
Posted by Mike Farley (11/01/2009 @ 8:00 am)

Sean Payton has climbed into the top spot this week after his team had a riveting come-from-behind win in Miami, and by come-from-behind we mean they were trailing 24-3 late in the second half and won the game 46-34. That means for the rest of the game, they score was 43-10 New Orleans. Just sick.
1. Sean Payton, New Orleans Saints—Sorry Josh McDaniels, but while you were on bye Payton’s team had a remarkable comeback against the Dolphins on the road. They appear to be the 2007 Patriots, and for that we have to give the coach top props.
2. Josh McDaniels, Denver Broncos—We know the Broncos upset the Cowboys and Patriots, but the next two weeks they face Baltimore and Pittsburgh. We’ll see if the boy wonder is still sitting pretty after that.
3. Jim Caldwell, Indianapolis Colts—The rookie coach is still waiting for his first loss. Good for him.
4. Brad Childress, Minnesota Vikings—Okay, so the Vikings are human. However, I think Childress’ investment will pay off this weekend in Green Bay.
5. Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati Bengals—Regained confidence by thrashing the Bears and remained tied for first with the Steelers in the tough AFC North.
Honorable mention: Bill Belichick, Patriots; Mike Smith, Falcons; Gary Kubiak, Texans; Ken Whisenhunt, Cardinals
Posted in: NFL
Tags: AFC North, Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Bill Belichick, Brad Childress, Brett Favre, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, football, Gary Kubiak, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jim Caldwell, Josh McDaniels, Ken Whisenhunt, Marvin Lewis, Miami Dolphins, Mike Smith, Minnesota Vikings, National Football League, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, NFL, NFL coach of the year power rankings, NFL COY power rankings, Pittsburgh Steelers, power rankings, Sean Payton

|