Fantasy Fallout, Week 5: QBs
Posted by John Paulsen (10/12/2009 @ 8:00 am)
- It’s not surprising that Ben Roethlisberger (277 yards, 3 TD, INT) had a nice game against the Lions, but it is surprising that he had to throw the ball 30 times.
- Matt Cassel (253 yards, 2 TD) struggled to stay upright behind Kansas City’s shaky line, but finished with nice numbers.
- Tony Romo (351 yards, 2 TD) didn’t play quite as well as his numbers would indicate, as Miles Austin’s spectacular runs saved the day for the Cowboys.
- Donovan McNabb (264 yards, 3 TD) posted great numbers against a very bad Bucs pass defense.
- Josh Johnson (240 yards, 2 TD, 3 INT) is going to have his share of struggles, but he’s going to produce some decent fantasy numbers since the Bucs look like they’ll be trailing a lot this season. Along with Kellen Winslow, if Antonio Bryant can stay healthy, Johnson will have a couple of good options in the passing game. He also runs the ball pretty well (5 carries, 40 yards against the Eagles).
- Kyle Orton (330 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT) had his best game of the season, but almost gave the game away when he underthrew Brandon Marshall in overtime. He was lucky that pass didn’t get picked off.
- Think the Seahawks need Matt Hasselbeck (241 yards, 4 TD)? Granted, Jacksonville’s defense is pretty terrible, but Hass was sharp in his first game back.
Fantasy Fallout, Week 5: RBs
Posted by John Paulsen (10/12/2009 @ 7:00 am)
- Just a tremendous effort from Cedric Benson (29 touches, 136 yards) who became the first RB to rush for more than 100 yards against the Ravens. He looks like an every-week start.
- Ray Rice (14 carries, 69 yards) ran the ball well and caught seven passes for 74 yards and a TD. Willis McGahee surprisingly only got two touches the entire game.
- Marshawn Lynch (23 touches, 125 yards) seems to be taking over in the Buffalo backfield, but Fred Jackson (15 touches, 47 yards) is still involved.
- Jamal Lewis (31 carries, 117 yards) was questionable all week, but dominated the carries in the Cleveland backfield. Jerome Harrison only had eight carries for 21 yards.
- Jonathan Stewart (11 touches, 45 yards, TD) was healthy enough to eat into DeAngelo Williams’ (20 touches, 59 yards) workload, and it was Stewart who got most of the goal line work.
- Clinton Portis (21 touches, 74 yards, 2 TD) didn’t run the ball all that well, but he scored twice against the Panthers.
- Rashard Mendenhall (17 touches, 93 yards, TD) had another nice game with Willie Parker out, and he should have earned himself some more work even when Parker returns.
Read the rest of this entry »
Fantasy Fallout, Week 5: WRs
Posted by John Paulsen (10/12/2009 @ 6:00 am)
- Chris Henry (3-92) finally had a big yardage game for the Bengals. With Laveranues Coles’ lack of production, there’s opportunity for Henry to step up.
- After a big Week 4, Derrick Mason (0-0) was held without a catch. Kelly Washington (1-21) and Mark Clayton (3-36) also had quiet games. Todd Heap and Ray Rice caught 14 of Joe Flacco’s 22 completions.
- Don’t cut Mohammed Massaquoi (1-16) just yet. The wind was a big factor and Derek Anderson did target him six times.
- Calvin Johnson (1-2) left the game early with a leg injury.
- Do you think Miles Austin (10-250-2) earned a few more snaps with his outstanding game against the Chiefs? I do.
- Dwayne Bowe (5-74-1) has been battling a hamstring injury, but it looks like he’s back now and is developing some chemistry with Matt Cassel. He should be owned in all leagues.
- Don’t worry about Steve Smith (3-70) having a relatively quiet game. The Giants didn’t have to throw the ball much, and when they did, Eli Manning found Mario Manningham (2-36-1) and Hakeem Nicks (4-49-1) for scores.
Read the rest of this entry »
Fantasy Fallout, Week 5: TEs
Posted by John Paulsen (10/12/2009 @ 5:00 am)
- After a great start to the season, Chris Cooley (0-0) posted a goose egg against the Panthers.
- After a big game last week, Heath Miller (5-54-1) had another nice game against the Lions. He has 29 catches in five games.
- Zach Miller (4-69) led the Raiders in catches and yards…by a long shot. JaMarcus Russell is just so erratic that you can’t count on anyone in the Raider passing game.
- Kellen Winslow (9-102-2) is far and away Josh Johnson’s favorite target and despite a couple of quiet weeks in the last three, he should be in fantasy lineups going forward.
- Owen Daniels (8-94) continues his fine season and is a must-start at TE in most formats.
- Marcedes Lewis (3-13) had a poor game after posting a couple of nice lines in recent weeks. Given the fact that the Jags trailed the entire day, three catches is pretty pathetic, though that term could be applied to the entire Jacksonville effort on Sunday.
Be sure to check back for the fantasy fallout for the QB, RB and WR positions.
Active/Inactive: Week 5
Posted by John Paulsen (10/11/2009 @ 11:15 am)
ACTIVE
Eli Manning (John Clayton is reporting that he’s starting)
Jamal Lewis (downgrade for Jerome Harrison)
Jonathan Stewart
Antonio Bryant
Dwayne Bowe
INACTIVE
Kevin Curtis (upgrade for Jeremy Maclin)
Willie Parker (start Rashard Mendenhall!)
Phil Dawson (Billy Cundiff takes over)
Roy Williams (upgrades for Crayton, Austin and Hurd)
Earnest Graham
Matthew Stafford
Kevin Boss
Love ‘Em & Leave ‘Em: Week 5
Posted by John Paulsen (10/08/2009 @ 3:28 pm)

Every week, I will highlight a few players to start and a few players to sit at each position. I’m a firm believer in starting your studs, so I won’t tell you about how Drew Brees or Adrian Peterson has a tough matchup – just go ahead and keep them in your lineup. Instead, I’ll focus on the borderline guys – players you’ll only start under the right circumstances. It’s important to note that depending on your roster and situation, you may not be able to follow these recommendations. For example, if I suggest you bench a solid starter like Tony Romo, only do so if you have a clearly better option on your bench.
The “love ‘em” players are listed in the order that I’d start them this week.


Tony Romo has a tasty matchup against a Chiefs defense that is 28th in the league against the pass. They have allowed an average of 251 yards and 2.0 TD through the air, so even if Roy Williams is out, Romo should have a nice day…Matt Schaub has a favorable matchup with the Cardinals, who own the league’s 30th-ranked pass defense, yielding 280 yards and 2.3 pass TD through the first three games. Neither defense is stout, so this could turn into a high-scoring affair…Ben Roethlisberger looks like a must-start this week against the Lions. The only worry is that the Steelers get the running game going and Detroit can’t score enough to keep it close…Matt Cassel has his first favorable matchup this season. He faces the Cowboys, who have yielded 256 yards and 1.5 pass TD per game. Dallas got off to a rough start defensively, but has come on the last two weeks. Still this one looks like it could be a high scoring affair, and Cassel will likely have to throw a lot in the second half…Donovan McNabb should start on Sunday against a Bucs defense that has given up nine pass TD in four games…Brett Favre is coming on and he has the Rams this week. It’s possible that Minny will dominate in the ground game, but Favre should throw at least 1-2 TD if St. Louis can muster enough points to keep it somewhat close…Joe Flacco looks like a nice start against the Bengals, who gave up 269 yards and a TD to Derek Anderson and the Browns last week. Cincy’s defense is a little underrated, but Baltimore should be able to move the ball this week…Looking for a sleeper? Shaun Hill (vs. ATL), Seneca Wallace (vs. JAX) and Derek Anderson (@ BUF) all have above average matchups this week.
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in: Fantasy Football, News
Tags: 2009 fantasy football, 2009 fantasy football week 5, 2009 NFL Week 5, Fantasy Football, fantasy football start sit week 5, fantasy football strategy, fantasy football week 5, fantasy football week 5 busts, fantasy football week 5 sleepers, Headlines

Fantasy Quick Hitters: Caddy, MBIII, Marshall and more
Posted by John Paulsen (10/08/2009 @ 12:00 pm)

Bucs’ OC Greg Olson wants Caddy to be the featured back. Williams has been productive, but he’s injury-prone, and if the Bucs start giving him 25 touches a game, he’s probably going to break down. This is bad news for Derrick Ward in the short term, but in the long term, it might be a good thing. Ward could be the primary ballcarrier to close the season.
Brandon Marshall seems to be happy again. It’s amazing what a 4-0 start and a sick, game-winning TD catch will do for a guy. Marshall’s talent is undeniable, and it seems like he and HC Josh McDaniels have put the ill will behind them and have found a way to work together. Marshall’s upside is still limited somewhat by Kyle Orton (just ask Eddie Royal owners), but he has been productive of late and has worked his way back to being an every-week start in most formats.
Rashard Mendenhall should start this week. With Willie Parker likely out, look for another big game from Mendenhall as he faces the Lions’ 20th-ranked rush defense.
MBIII is back at practice. The Cowboys face the Chiefs this week, so it’s a nice matchup for the entire offense. Barber should be in most starting lineups, but Tashard Choice is likely to see a lot of work to keep Barber fresh. Choice has been productive, so there’s no reason not to use him.
Frank Gore on track to return in Week 7. The 49ers have a bye next week, so it looks like Sunday may be the last week that Glen Coffee is startable. He has a nice matchup with the 25th-ranked Falcons’ rush defense and should see plenty of work. Regardless, Gore owners should keep Coffee stashed as a handcuff.
Posted in: Fantasy Football, News, Rumors & Gossip
Tags: 2009 fantasy football week 5, 2009 NFL Week 5, Brandon Marshall, Cadillac Williams, Carnell Williams, Derrick Ward, fantasy football week 5, Frank Gore, frank gore injury, Marion Barber, Marion Barber injury, Rashard Mendenhall, Tashard Choice, Willie Parker injury

Fantasy Quick-Hitters: Westy, Eli, Braylon and more
Posted by John Paulsen (10/07/2009 @ 2:32 pm)

Westbrook and McNabb to play. It looks like LeSean McCoy will eat into Westy’s touches, but he’s still a very good start against the Bucs’ sketchy defense. This should also be an upgrade for DeSean Jackson and even David Akers, who should see more opportunities now that McNabb is back under center.
Eli Manning sits out of practice. He’s looking like a game-time decision for Sunday. The good news is that he can’t make his foot worse by playing on it — it’s all about what kind of tolerance he has for the pain. I’d expect Manning to continue with the great season he’s having since mobility isn’t one of his strengths in the first place.
Giants want to involve Hakeem Nicks. On three targets, Nicks caught one pass for 54 yards and a TD in Week 4, while Mario Manningham went 1-43 on eight targets. Manningham is currently getting the lion’s share of looks, but he didn’t convert very well on Sunday. His conversion rate is now down to 56%, which is just mediocre. Nicks’ rate (43%) is even worse, but the Giants still want to get him involved in the offense. The only safe start for the Giants right now is Steve Smith.
Roy Williams (ribs) did not participate in practice on Wednesday. This an upgrade for the rest of the Cowboys’ receiving corps, and now Patrick Crayton looks like a decent start in most leagues while Sam Hurd becomes a sleeper with Williams sidelined. This hurts Tony Romo since he’ll have one fewer weapon to utilize, but he shouldn’t have trouble posting a nice fantasy line against the Chiefs. Keep an eye on Williams this week.
Braylon Edwards to start Monday night. You’d think they’d bring him around slowly, but the Jets don’t have a lot of options at WR now that Chansi Stuckey is gone. They’re going to take their new toy out for a spin. Will Braylon suddenly discover where his hands have been hiding the last year and a half? Only time will tell.
Posted in: Fantasy Football, News
Tags: 2009 fantasy football week 5, 2009 NFL Week 5, Braylon Edwards fantasy, Braylon Edwards trade, Brian Westbrook fantasy, Brian Westbrook injury, Donovan McNabb fantasy, donovan mcnabb injury, fantasy football week 5, Hakeem Nicks fantasy, Roy Williams fantasy, Roy Williams injury

Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 5
Posted by John Paulsen (10/07/2009 @ 12:13 pm)
The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.
Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…
#1 49ers: 0 PA (10) + 5 SK + 1 INT + 3 RET TD + 1 FR = 36 fantasy points
#2 Bengals: 2 SK + 1 INT + 1 FR + 1 RET TD = 10 fp
#3 Bills: 6 SK = 6 fp
Clearly, the 49ers were an awesome pick and they no doubt won a ton of games for fantasy owners this week, whether or not they were following DTBWW. The Bengals didn’t do quite as well from a sack/turnover aspect as I thought they would, but they did have a return TD, so that made for a good day. I didn’t mention it last week, but Indianapolis was an attractive pick too, but it looked like Dwight Freeney was going to be out, so I didn’t pick the Colts over the Bills.
Through three weeks, pick #1 has generated 14.3 fp, pick #2 has averaged 9.0 fp and pick #3 has scored 11.0 fp on average. On the whole, DTBWW has averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game. Those are DT4-type numbers.
Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.
Pick #1: San Francisco 49ers (vs. ATL)
They’re the top defense in the league and they’re available in 70% of ESPN leagues. The Falcons are just a mediocre matchup for SF, but the 49ers are playing really good defense right now and they’re at home this week. If you picked them up last week, stick with them.
Pick #2: Buffalo Bills (vs. CLE)
The Bills were embarrassed against Miami, allowing 38 points and a ton of rushing yards. If this game were in Cleveland, I may not take the Bills here, but they always play pretty tough in Buffalo.
Pick #3: Dallas Cowboys (@ KC)
After a pair of goose eggs to start the season, the Cowboys have bounced back with solid efforts the last two weeks, posting 21 fantasy points against the Panthers and nine against the Broncos last week. In Week 5, they face the Chiefs, who can’t run the ball and don’t have that many options in the passing game.
Bonus pick: Miami (vs. NYJ)
Fantasy Football Q&A: Week 5
Posted by John Paulsen (10/06/2009 @ 4:40 pm)
Be sure to check out our Week 4 Fantasy Fallout as well as our Waiver Wire Watch…still have questions? Fire away.
Please provide your league’s starting lineup requirements and scoring system (specifically whether or not it’s a point-per-reception league).
|