The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

#1 49ers: 1 SK + 1 INT = 2 fantasy points
#2 Bills: 6 PA (8) + 1 SK + 1 INT = 10 fp
#3 Cowboys: 4 SK = 4 fp

Unless you had the Bills, this was not a very good week for DTBWW. The Falcons made the 49ers look like a bunch of high schoolers, and while the Cowboys sacked Matt Cassel four times, they didn’t create any turnovers or keep points off the board.

Through Week 5, the top DTBWW pick is averaging 11.8 fantasy points, the #2 pick is averaging 9.2 fp and the #3 pick is averaging 9.6. Combining the three groups, DTBWW is averaging 10.2 fp on the season. Those are DT7 numbers.

Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues. (I’ve seen the Packers available on a few waiver wires, and if they’re available, I’d pick them first; they play the Lions at home.)

Pick #1: Cincinnati Bengals (vs. HOU)
The Texans are just a mediocre matchup, but the Bengals defense is playing very well of late, posting at least seven fantasy points in each of its five outings. The game is at home, so that should help.

Pick #2: Washington Redskins (vs. KC)
Again, the Chiefs aren’t a great matchup, but the Redskins defense has been pretty solid of late and if the offense can put a few drives together, Washington should have a nice day.

Pick #3: Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. STL)
The Jags have one of the worst fantasy defenses in the league, but these are the Rams we’re talking about. Teams have averaged 16.4 fantasy points against St. Louis, so even the Jags should have a pretty nice day.

Bonus Pick: If you run out of options, the Bucs have a nice matchup at home against Jake Delhomme and the Panthers. Opposing defenses have scored 14.0 fp against Carolina this season.

The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

#1 49ers: 0 PA (10) + 5 SK + 1 INT + 3 RET TD + 1 FR = 36 fantasy points
#2 Bengals: 2 SK + 1 INT + 1 FR + 1 RET TD = 10 fp
#3 Bills: 6 SK = 6 fp

Clearly, the 49ers were an awesome pick and they no doubt won a ton of games for fantasy owners this week, whether or not they were following DTBWW. The Bengals didn’t do quite as well from a sack/turnover aspect as I thought they would, but they did have a return TD, so that made for a good day. I didn’t mention it last week, but Indianapolis was an attractive pick too, but it looked like Dwight Freeney was going to be out, so I didn’t pick the Colts over the Bills.

Through three weeks, pick #1 has generated 14.3 fp, pick #2 has averaged 9.0 fp and pick #3 has scored 11.0 fp on average. On the whole, DTBWW has averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game. Those are DT4-type numbers.

Let’s take a look at this week’s picks. Keep in mind that to be eligible for DTBWW, a defense must be available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.

Pick #1: San Francisco 49ers (vs. ATL)
They’re the top defense in the league and they’re available in 70% of ESPN leagues. The Falcons are just a mediocre matchup for SF, but the 49ers are playing really good defense right now and they’re at home this week. If you picked them up last week, stick with them.

Pick #2: Buffalo Bills (vs. CLE)
The Bills were embarrassed against Miami, allowing 38 points and a ton of rushing yards. If this game were in Cleveland, I may not take the Bills here, but they always play pretty tough in Buffalo.

Pick #3: Dallas Cowboys (@ KC)
After a pair of goose eggs to start the season, the Cowboys have bounced back with solid efforts the last two weeks, posting 21 fantasy points against the Panthers and nine against the Broncos last week. In Week 5, they face the Chiefs, who can’t run the ball and don’t have that many options in the passing game.

Bonus pick: Miami (vs. NYJ)

The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, preferably one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s see how they fared…

Read the rest of this entry »

- Vernon Davis (7-96-2) had a huge game, but I doubt there were too many fantasy owners that had the balls to start him.

- Tony Gonzalez (1-16) was a non-factor on Sunday.

- Brent Celek (8-104-1) is looking like an every week starter at TE. He has good hands and the Eagles need a good second receiving option after DeSean Jackson.

- Greg Olsen (5-44-1) rewarded those owners that stuck with him after a couple of shaky outings.

- I like Zach Miller (2-17), but JaMarcus Russell is so inconsistent at QB that it’s tough to start Miller in any given week.

- With the way that Indy feeds the ball to Dallas Clark (7-62-1), it wouldn’t be at all surprising if he finishes the season as fantasy’s TE1, assuming he can stay healthy.

See below for links to the QB, RB and WR positions.

- Santana Moss finally had a big game (9-172-1) and rewarded those owners with the balls (or the desperation) to stick with him after two bad outings.

- Laurent Robinson (2-26) and Donnie Avery (3-12) were very quiet against the Packers even though the Rams trailed most of the game. Robinson may be seriously hurt, per the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. If he has an MCL injury, he could be out for a while.

- There doesn’t seem to be a clear WR1 in Minnesota as Bernard Berrian, Sidney Rice and Percy Harvin each had four catches.

- With Wes Welker out, I was expecting a big PPR game for Julian Edelman (3-20), but he didn’t deliver.

- The Pats did a nice job of taking away Roddy White (4-24), which is something they’ve been doing well all season.

Read the rest of this entry »

- Kevin Smith (19 touches, 119 yards) had a nice game, but left early with a shoulder injury.

- Clinton Portis was dinged up heading into Sunday’s game, but was still surprisingly quiet (13 touches, 48 yards) against the Lions.

- Ryan Grant (26 carries, 99 yards) struggled early, but got it going a bit in the second half to finish with a decent ypc (3.8).

- Frank Gore left the game after only one carry, and Glen Coffee (25 carries, 54 yards) didn’t have much success against the Williams Wall. It looks like Gore will be out at least two weeks with a high ankle sprain.

- Michael Turner (15 carries, 56 yards, TD) never could get it going, but he did score.

Read the rest of this entry »

Bill Belichick: Wes Welker “was inactive because he wasn’t able to play.” Thanks for the information, Bill. Welker owners should absolutely have Julian Edelman on their roster, especially in PPR leagues. He’s also worth a look for non-Welker owners who have a spot open on their bench. If Welker’s injury lingers, Edelman is startable on a weekly basis. On Sunday, he ran all the same routes that Welker usually does and racked up 98 yards on eight receptions. He was targeted 16 times by Tom Brady. The Pats play in the first round of games on Sunday, so you’ll know early on whether or not to put Edelman in your lineup.

Mendenhall’s role to grow? HC Mike Tomlin insinuated that it will. Mendenhall had a 39-yard run in the third quarter of Sunday’s game against the Bears, and showed a burst that neither Willie Parker nor Mewelde Moore seem to offer right now. The original plan was some sort of committee, so don’t expect Mendenhall to take over and become a featured back. Even if Parker were to go down, Moore would be in on all third downs at a minimum.

The Seahawks planning to be without Hasselbeck in Week 3. Hasselbeck has a fractured rib and may not be able to play. Seneca Wallace isn’t a bad backup and has been a productive fantasy player in the past. He wouldn’t be a bad start for fantasy owners in two-QB leagues or for those owners that are in dire straits in standard leagues.

Cutler: Olsen “might have a 10-catch game coming up.” Don’t panic and cut ties with Olsen. He is still one of the most gifted pass-catching TEs in the league and his numbers will recover. He could have had a big game against the Steelers if not for a great hit along the sideline on a 20-yard catch (that jarred the ball loose) and a slip in the endzone on a sure-TD.

Justin Forsett coming on. I added him to my list of waiver wire acquisitions. Julius Jones is all right, but Forsett is gaining, and clearly outplayed him on Sunday. The Seahawks aren’t married to Jones, as evidenced by the Edgerrin James signing. Since he has big upside, Forsett is a good guy to roster and is worthy of flex/bye week starts in PPR formats.

The strategy behind DTBWW is that each week, you pick up a defense, usually one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. To see how this approach performed last season, click here.

Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s take a look at how they performed:

#1 Falcons: 1 SK + 1 FR + 1 INT = 3 fantasy points
#2 Redskins: 7 PA (6) + 1 SK + 1 FR = 8 fp
#3 Broncos: 6 PA (8) + 4 SK + 1 INT + 2 FR = 15 fp

So far, my #1 pick is averaging 3.5 fantasy points (not good), my #2 pick is averaging 11.0 points (very good) and my bonus pick is averaging 10.0 points (very good). The overall average is 8.2 fantasy points.

Here are this week’s recommendations. All teams are available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues. If the Packers are available in your league, I’d start them (against the Rams) before any of these teams this week.

Pick #1: Broncos (@ OAK)
Through the first two weeks, the Broncos own the #2 fantasy defense. Is this going to last? Probably not. But after two great matchups with the Bengals and Browns, the Broncos get another potentially good matchup with the Oakland Raiders.

Pick #2: Redskins (@ DET)
Washington’s defense is solid, yet unspectacular. In the last three seasons, the Redskins have finished no higher than 19th in fantasy defense. But last week they held the Rams to just seven points, and this week they get a tasty matchup with the Detroit Lions.

Bonus Pick: Cowboys (vs. CAR)
Believe it or not, the Cowboys have failed to register a sack or create a turnover through two games. But with Jake Delhomme coming to town, that should change. I’d expect the Cowboys defense will be fired up and ready to play after a tough loss against the Giants last week. Wade Phillips is a good defensive coach, so he should be able to turn things around.

The idea is that each week, you pick up a defense, usually one playing at home against a bad offense. And each week, you get pretty good numbers out of your DT position. (All teams are available in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues.)

Last week, I recommended three DTBWW picks. Let’s take a look at how they performed:

#1: Saints (vs. DET) = 1 SK + 3 INT = 4 fantasy points
#2: Seahawks (vs. STL) = 0 PA (10) + 3 SK + 1 FR = 14 fantasy points
#3: Cardinals (vs. SF) = 4 SK + 1 FR = 5 fantasy points

The Saints and Cardinals didn’t play up to expectations, but when the Seahawks are included, the trio averaged 7.7 fp, which is solid.

Here are my picks for this week:

Pick #1: Atlanta Falcons (vs. CAR)
The Eagles created seven turnovers against the Panthers last week and Jake Delhomme looked awful. No matter who Carolina has at QB, the deck is sacked against them as they face a Falcons defense that posted 14 fp against the conservative Dolphins.

Pick #2: Washington Redskins (vs. STL)
The Rams were brutal last week, and while the Redskins haven’t historically been able to generate a lot of turnovers, they should be able to handle the Rams after going toe to toe with a pretty good Giants’ offense last week.

Bonus Pick: Denver Broncos (vs. CLE)
The Broncos played well against a Bengals offense that has some firepower. I’d expect they’ll fare even better at home against Brady Quinn and the Browns.

Other defenses to consider: SEA (@ SF), SF (vs. SEA), IND (@ MIA)