Not a great start last week but not bad either. I hit the Eagles and Bengals but the Colts never arrived in Houston and the Titans fell short in Jacksonville. I’ll try harder today…
Cardinals @ Redskins, 1:00PM ET
Cam Newton was incredible in his debut but Arizona’s defense was sofffffft. Now the Cardinals have to hop a flight cross-country to play a Redskins team that didn’t have to move after playing at home last week. While the situation is built like a house of cards, Rex Grossman played well last Sunday against the Giants and I think he’ll carry that confidence into today. The Cardinals are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The Redskins, meanwhile, are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games versus the NFC.
THE PICK: REDSKINS –4
Browns @ Colts, 1:00PM ET
Apparently I’m a glutton for punishment because I’m right back on the Colts this week after their brutal performance in Week 1. It just doesn’t sit right with me that Indy is a 1-point home underdog against a Browns team that got drubbed by the Bengals at home last Sunday. Kerry Collins looked like crap-o-la in Houston but he should have an easier time this Sunday against Cleveland. The underdog is 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams while the Browns are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games versus the AFC.
THE PICK: COLTS +1
Chiefs @ Lions, 1:00PM ET
I happen to think that the performances of these two teams last week wasn’t an aberration. I think the Chiefs can be that bad and I think the Lions can be that good. That said, oddsmakers are clearly playing into the public’s perception that Detroit is a playoff sleeper because the line is set way too high in this one. I don’t expect Kansas City to play as poorly as it did last week against the Bills, who clearly snuck up on an unprepared Chiefs squad. I like the Lions to win, but the Chiefs to the score within a touchdown.
THE PICK: CHIEFS +9
Eagles @ Falcons, 8:20PM ET
Don’t expect the Falcons to play as sloppy as they did last week in Chicago but I still don’t like them in any matchup with the Eagles. Philly has won eight of its last nine against Atlanta and you know Mikey Vick is going to be pumped up playing against his former team. The Falcons are extremely talented on both sides of the ball but they lack that killer attitude that great teams like the Patriots, Saints and Packers have exhibited. That’s why I think they’ll be in awe of Vick instead of trying to make his life miserable for three hours. Maybe I’ll be wrong and the Falcons will view this as a statement game but something is definitely off right now in Atlanta.
THE PICK: EAGLES –1.5
Last Week: 2-2
Check out Bullz-Eye.com for a complete list of NFL Week 1 odds.