Elvis Dumervil back this season? Don’t count on it.

DENVER - OCTOBER 05:  Defensive end Elvis Dumervil #92 of the Denver Broncos gets double teamed by Jeremy Trueblood #65 and Davin Joseph #75 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during NFL action on October 5, 2008 in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos defeated the Buccaneers 16-13.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

In a recent Q&A for the Denver Post, columnist Mike Klis tells Broncos fans not to fear, because linebacker Elvis Dumervil (torn pectoral) will return at some point this season.

Let’s begin this mailbag by stating that based on nearly everything I’ve been hearing, Elvis Dumervil is expected back this season.

To answer your question, yes, clubs do get insurance on their star players. But the key to collecting is a career-ending injury. Dumervil probably won’t even be out for the season, much less for his career. He suffered a torn pectoral, not an amputated femur.

Barring a setback in his rehab, expect Dumervil to return and play in 2010.

I view myself as an optimistic guy, but I don’t see any way Dumervil returns this season. First and foremost, the math doesn’t add up. The doctors have given him a five-month recovery time and players who have had this injury before have come back no earlier than five months. Seeing as how Dumervil suffered the injury in early August, that puts his return at sometime in December.

Granted, there are games to be played in December, so theoretically yes, Dumervil could return in 2010. That said, if the Broncos don’t place him on IR, they’ll have to burn up a roster spot until he returns. Denver has already been bitten by the injury bug several times this month and more injuries are likely coming. Can Josh McDaniels afford to keep Dumervil on the active roster all season? Doubtful.

That said, I’m not a doctor, nor do I pretend to be one. For all we know, Dumervil heals at double the speed of a normal human and he could be back in October. But then that begs the question, would the Broncos want to rush him back and risk further injury?

Injuries are part of the game and it’s unfortunate that a hard worker like Dumervil had to suffer one in training camp. But he needs time to heel and I just don’t see him coming back in 2010.

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