All-Star Break Rewind: Taking a look back at preseason MLB predictions

May 23, 2010 Philadelphia Phillies' pitcher Roy Halladay leaves the game against the Philadelphia Phillies' at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Red Sox beat the Phillies' 8-3.

It’s always fun to take a look back and see how many faulty predictions members of the media got wrong in the preseason. It’s even more fun when you look back at your own faulty predictions and provide people the opportunity to all you a moron by laying out how wrong you were.

Now that we’ve reached the halfway point in the 2010 MLB season, let’s see how my preseason predictions are holding up. (Click on the links provided to read the entire preseason prediction for that division.)

AL East

My Predictions: Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, Orioles, Blue Jays.
Current Standings: Yankees, Rays, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Orioles.

Not too bad, although I thought that the O’s would be more competitive and without Roy Halladay, I thought the Jays would sink to the bottom of the division. I also underestimated the Rays a tad, but there’s still a lot of baseball to be played. It’ll be interesting to see if Tampa can stay ahead of the Red Sox, Tigers, Twins and Angels in the AL Wild Card race.

AL Central

My Predictions: White Sox, Twins, Tigers, Royals, Indians.
Current Standings: White Sox, Tigers, Twins, Royals, Indians.

Up until a couple of weeks ago, the White Sox were making me look like a bigger clown then I already am. But they’ve been on fire recently, winning eight in a row and nine of their last 10. The problem of course, is that Jake Peavy appears to be done for the season with a nasty back injury, so who knows how the Sox’s rotation will hold up in the second half. The rest of my predictions look good, although as I wrote in my preview of this division, the Central is a crapshoot.

AL West

My Predictions: Angels, Mariners, Rangers, A’s.
Current Standings: Rangers, Angels, A’s, Mariners.

Yeee-ikes. I missed badly on the Rangers, who have been the biggest surprise in the AL so far, and I also drank the Kool Aid on the Mariners before the season. I thought that Felix Hernandez and Cliff Lee would make up for their shit-show of an offense, but I was wrong – way wrong. The Angels are only 4.5 games back of Texas and therefore could still win the division, but the Rangers are far and away the better team and I don’t think they’ve relinquish the lead. I need a mulligan for this division.

NL East

My Predictions: Phillies, Braves, Marlins, Mets, Nationals.
Current Standings: Braves, Mets, Phillies, Marlins, Nationals.

I obviously had a beat on the Braves, although I didn’t have the stones to rank them ahead of the Phillies. Seeing as how the Mets have been a disaster waiting to happen both on and off the field over the past couple of years, I won’t beat myself up over predicting the Marlins to finish above them. But clearly the Metropolitans are playing better than most people thought they would. It’ll be interesting to see if Philly can awaken their bats again and climb back into first place. They’re only 4.5 games out, but they’ve underachieved thus far.

NL Central

My Predictions: Cardinals, Cubs, Brewers, Reds, Astros, Pirates.
Current Standings: Reds, Cardinals, Brewers, Cubs, Astros, Pirates.

Call this my AL West of the National League predictions. While I can’t say that I’m shocked that the Reds are in first, I obviously didn’t have a ton of confidence in Dusty Baker’s club before the season. That’s probably because I thought they would be postseason sleepers last year and they made fools out of me. Just like a scorned lover, I predicted them to finish fourth and they promptly raced out to the division lead (although make note that I did call them “deep postseason sleepers” in this article). I still don’t know if they have the overall talent to stay ahead of the Cardinals for a full season, but there’s no doubt they’ll be in the Wild Card hunt this year. It’ll be interesting to see whether or not the Brewers are sellers this season, seeing as how they’re usually buyers. I don’t even want to talk about the Cubs. Actually, I do. I thought they were primed for a bounce back year, but what they really are is the crap stain on the underwear of life.


NL West

My Predictions: Rockies, Dodgers, Giants, Diamondbacks, Padres.
Current Standings: Padres, Dodgers, Rockies, Giants, Diamondbacks.

I obviously missed the boat here, although I think the Rockies underachieved in the first half and the Padres overachieved. San Diego is the surprise of the year so far, but I think their lack of offense will eventually catch up with them. They’re a fun team to watch because they’re never out of any game, but I don’t see them playing this well all year. This will be the most interesting division to watch over the next couple of months because four of the five teams are still in it. Even the Giants (who appeared to be dead to rights two weeks ago) still have a chance to claim the division after rattling off seven of 10 before the break.

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