Day: October 4, 2007

Week 5 Preview

Every week, I highlight a few players to start and a few players to sit at each position. I’m a firm believer in starting your studs, so I won’t tell you about how Carson Palmer or LaDainian Tomlinson has a tough matchup – just go ahead and start them. I’ll focus on the borderline guys – players you’ll only start under the right circumstances. It’s important to note that depending on your roster and situation, you may not be able to follow these recommendations. For example, if I suggest you bench a solid starter like Ben Roethlisberger, only do so if you have a clearly better option on your bench.

START ‘EM

QB: Jay Cutler looks like a nice start against the Chargers, who have given up an average of 253 yards and 2 TD per game thus far…Expect a good game out of Matt Schaub, who may not throw for a ton of yards against Miami, but should be good for a TD or two…Chad Pennington has a pretty nice matchup against the Giants, who have allowed 219 yards and 2 TD per game…For the desperate (or Donovan McNabb and Carson Palmer owners), Jason Campbell has a nice matchup against the Lions, who have been pretty bad against the pass.

RB: Edgerrin James is in for a big day against the Rams, who have yielded the 4th most rushing yards (along with 1.8 rush TD) per game…Marion Barber and Julius Jones look like decent starts against a Bills defense that has allowed 148 yards per game on the ground…Ahman Green (or Ron Dayne, if Green can’t go) should have a nice day against the Dolphins, who are last in the league in rush defense…It looks like Clinton Portis will play, and he’s a nice start against the Lions, who have given up 1.5 rush TD per game thus far.

WR: Could Lee Evans build on his first decent game of the season? The Cowboys have been pretty bad against opposing wideouts and there’s a good chance that the Bills will be playing catchup for most of the game…Brandon Marshall (and Javon Walker, if he plays) are must-starts against the Chargers…Wes Welker faces the Browns (30th in passing yards allowed) is a definite start in PPR leagues.

SIT ‘EM

QB: It would be wise to bench Derek Anderson against the Patriots. He can start if necessary, because there’s a decent chance he’ll rack up yardage trying to catch up, but the Pats have been tough against opposing QBs…David Garrard and Damon Huard should be avoided in the JAX/KC game. Both defenses are in the top 5 in the league in fewest passing yards allowed…Philip Rivers has a brutal matchup against the Broncos, who have allowed only 115 yards and just 1.3 TD per game.

RB: Marshawn Lynch faces the Cowboys, who have yielded an average of 81 yards and 0.3 TD on the ground…Jamal Lewis managed to score against a stingy Ravens rush D, and this week he has to face the Pats who are 3rd in the league in rush defense…Brian Leonard will find the going tough against a surprisingly good Arizona rush defense. The Cardinals have allowed just 96 yards per game on the ground…Cedric Benson has been spotty this season and this week he faces a Packers defense that has yet to allow a rushing TD.

WR: I know it’s tough to bench him, but Braylon Edwards may struggle if the Pats are successful in their plan to limit the Browns’ passing game. He should start in most leagues unless owners have another good option at WR…Dwayne Bowe is on fire, but he faces a Jags defense that has allowed just 151 yards and 0.3 TD through the air in three games…Vincent Jackson will probably continue to struggle when he goes up against Champ Bailey and the rest of the Denver secondary…Don’t expect much out of Joey Galloway, who had a very quiet week 4. He faces a Colts secondary that is tough to throw on (176 yards per game).

SLEEPER OF THE WEEK

Antwaan Randle El (vs. DET)
Randle El should get more targets if Santana Moss doesn’t play (and it appears that he won’t). Since his huge week 1, he’s been pretty quiet, but the Lions secondary is very suspect.

TOUGH SLEDDING

Shaun Alexander (@ PIT), Frank Gore (vs. BAL)
Unless you have a better option, Alexander and Gore should still be in your starting lineup, but ratchet down the expectations for these studs. Both defenses are in the top 8 against the run and have given up just one rush TD so far this season.

Whitlock’s truths on the money

Although he can be a blind loyalist at times (especially when it comes to Donovan McNabb), Jason Whitlock really drove home two points in his “10 truths” for FOXSports.com.

8. Marvin Lewis is learning the lesson Dennis Green learned in Minnesota: Don’t turn your team over to wide receivers.… Johnson and Houshmandzadeh are great players. You can win with them. But if you coddle them, they will undermine team discipline. If Lewis continues to allow Johnson to play by one set of rules and turn the Bengals into Chad’s personal reality show, the team will not come out of this funk….

6. Let me be the first to say it: Andy Reid is overrated.
Standing on the sideline and calling pass play after pass play while the Giants are hammering the franchise quarterback who built your reputation was one of the most selfish coaching acts I’ve ever witnessed…

The Bengals are a bigger disaster than people think and it’s not entirely the defense’s fault as some suggest. Houshmandzadeh is a terrific player, but if the Bengals are losing, there might not be a bigger crybaby in the league. Whitlock compared Marvin Lewis’s handling of Housh and Johnson to the way Denny Green coddled Randy Moss and Cris Carter in Minnesota. Great call.

As far as Reid, I would say he’s more stubborn than overrated. Whitlock has serious man-love for McNabb, so it makes sense that he would bash Reid. However, Whitlock’s underlining message is spot on. The Eagles started to have massive success after Reid handed over the play calling duties to Marty Mornhinweg last year. Mornhinweg made the Eagles more balanced and that was a big reason Jeff Garcia was able to advance the team to the second round of the playoffs. Yet Reid has taken over the play calling responsibilities again this year and it’s obvious his pass-happy ways are going to get McNabb killed again. As Whitlock pointed out in the article, why call 900 pass plays Sunday night when it was obvious the Giants were treating Winston Justice like a revolving door?

MLB predictions with a musical twist

Analyzing over stats, trends and pie charts in an effort to predict baseball’s playoff winners? Well stop, because while that might be a more accurate way to go, it certainly isn’t more fun.

Shoutmouth.com went the unconventional route in determining which teams would win their respective divisional series: by comparing what closers had the better theme song.

Mariano Rivera – New York Yankees – “Enter Sandman” by Metallica vs. Joe Borowski – Cleveland Indians – Various

Verdict: While Rivera’s “Sandman” is intimidating and he is an originator of the entrance song art form, Borowski’s odd song behavior is unpredictable and downright scary (and there’s more on him to come). There’s something weird and it don’t look good…

Winner: Cleveland

What’s more important in trying to predict the winner of a playoff baseball game? The match up between Vladimir Guerrero and Josh Beckett, or F-Rod’s “Sandungueoso” theme music vs. Jonathan Papelbon’s “I’m Shipping Up to Boston”? The choice is an easy one when you really think about it.

‘Zona, BoSox and Rockies go up 1-0

The MLB postseason has officially kicked off with the D-backs, Red Sox and Rockies taking 1-0 leads in their respective series. Below is what some of the local papers are saying about each series.

Diamondbacks 3, Cubs 1
Carlos Zambrano was dominant for the Cubs, allowing just one run on four hits and striking out eight through six innings. With how well he was pitching, Jay Mariotti of The Chicago Sun Times wonders why manager Lou Piniella tried to win Game 4 instead of Game 1 by taking Zambrano out…In Arizona, Dan Brickley of The Arizona Republic concurs with Mariotti and believes Piniella’s blunder was all the D-Backs needed to steal Game 1.

Red Sox 4, Angels 0
While David Ortiz (2 for 3, 2 RBI, 1 HR) sparked the BoSox in the third inning with a two-run home run, Bob Ryan of The Boston Globe would rather marvel at Josh Beckett’s nine-innings of shutout baseball…In L.A., Bill Plashke of The L.A. Times warns John Lackey that the next time he whines about not pitching in a marquee match up, he better be ready because he certainly wasn’t Wednesday night against Beckett.

Rockies 4, Phillies 2
The Rockies jumped on Philadelphia ace Cole Hamels in the second inning, scoring three runs and sealing the victory with a solid effort from the bullpen. With the win, there’s postseason baseball to be enjoyed in Colorado writes The Denver Post…While in Philadelphia, Bob Ford of The Philadelphia Inquirer is already pissed that the Phils are in a 1-0 hole and thinks getting out of it is unlikely